Tuesday, July 17, 2012

5 meetings today

5 meetings today, but as is normal for a Tuesday, all at a very low level. With more rain on the way there could be some racedays lost later in the week, but all today´s fixtures look safe so far. At Beverley, the mile handicap at 16.30 CET looks quite open. Lochantanks (much better terms and may be able to Mike Appleby/ Luke Morris) and Save the Bees (Declan Carroll/ Daniel Tudhope) are both in good form but win very rarely - indeed the former has never won at all on turf. We therefore prefer Moheebb (Ruth Carr/ Peter Mcdonald), whose stable is in good form and usually runs well here. Half an hour later there is a handicap over 2 miles, in which last year´s winner Mojolika (Tim Easterby/ Graham Gibbons), from another hot trainer,. is the likely favourite. However Markington (Tony Honeyball/ Paul Mulrennan), runner-up a year ago and winner here in 2010, meets him now on much better terms and can reverse the form.

The ground will be very testing at Ffos Las, where there are some small fields. Bilidn (Noel Quinlan/ Chris Catlin) has won his last 5 races, but has gone up a massive 34 lbs in the weights; we are not sure he can win under top weight in the 1 3/4 miles handicap at 17.15, especially on this going. The interesting runner here is Asker (Marcus Tregoning/ Katia Scallan), unbeaten after winning a bumper and thern a maiden race at Chepstow on heavy ground. Another one who goes well in the heavy is bottom weight Hamilton Hill (Dai Burchell/ David Probert), but Asker may well be much better than his handicap rating and can remain unbeaten.

The standard is no better at the evening meetings, although the 10 furlongs handicap at 21.20 at Yarmouth looks quite interesting, with some possible 3yo improvers engaged, such as Marine Girl (Sir Henry Cecil/ Tom Queally) and Future Security (Saeed bin Suroor/ Mikael Barzalona), who has not run since October. Spirit of the Law (Ed Dunlop/ Paul Hanagan) and Twelve Strings (Luca Cumani/ Kieren Fallon) are more exposed 3yo´s but in good form, while the 5yo Amoya (Charlie McBride/ M.Mimmocchi) is out of a German Oaks winner and could run well at a big price.

At Southwell, the 7 furlongs handicap at 20.30 is the best race. If all 8 run, then bottom weight Eastern Hills (Alan McCabe/ Graham Lee) could be a good each-way bet; his recent form is uninspiring, but he is a CD specialist and very well handicapped in his best form. The Killarney meeting continues in Ireland, once again with a mixed card. Willie Mullins is in good form and can land a double with Drive Time (Paddy Mullins) on the flat at 20.10 and Sin Palo (Ruby Walsh) over fences half an hour later.