Thursday, June 24, 2010

Newcastle, Warwick and Goodwood

There are listed races for fillies this afternoon both at Warwick and Newcastle, where it is the start of a big 3-day meeting. At the latter track, the race is over 10 furlongs at 17.30 CET, and although there are 8 runners, it looks a match between Lady Jane Digby (Mark Johnston/ Greg Fairley) and Sajjhaa (Michael Jarvis/ Philip Robínson). Ldy Jane Digby sts the standard he, having won this race lst yr, nd a similar vnt lst tim out t Warwick.

Howver she is penalised for winning a Group Three in Germany last year, and it is doubtful whether she is capable of giving 16 lbs to the younger Sajjhaa, who ran in the Oaks on only her second career start. Although she dropped out there to finish last, she is regarded as very smart by her shrewd trainer and can get back on the winning trail here. Consistent Pachattack (Gerard Butler/ Tom Eaves) rarely wins, but usually runs well and can take third place. The mile handicap at 16.20 loos very open; last years winner The Osteopath (Michael Dods/ Phillip Makin) was just touched off by Dubai Dynamo (Ruth Carr/ Robert Winston) but can reverse the form on slightly better terms, but we fancy bottom weight Justonefortheroad (Richard Fahey/ Paul Hanagan), who won his only 2010 start in good style and is now moving up in grade.

The listed race at Warwick is for 3yo fillies over 7 furlongs at 17.05. Seta (Luca Cumani/ Kieren Fallon) looks the obvious favourite here. She was outclassed in the 1,000 Guineas but the rest of her form is good enough, and she finished well in front of Sir Mark Prescott´ s Virginia Hall (Seb Sanders), now making he seasonal debut, in last September´s May Hill Stakes. Best betting race here is the 6 furlongs handicap at 15.55, in which Favourite Girl (Tim Easterby/ Ted Durcan) and Alfresco (John Best/ Fallon) are our two against the field.

It is by no means inconceivable that Michael Jarvis can win races at all 3 afternoon meetings, as Parvaaz (Neil Callan) looks a good thing to win the 7 furlongs maiden at 16.30 at Warwick, while Best Intent (Richard Hughes) also has good prospects in a fillies maiden over 1 1/2 miles at 15.30 at Goodwood. However this is quite a tricky race despite the small field, and Scorn (John Gosden/ William Buick), runner-up in her last 4 races, and Ship´s Biscuit (Sir Michael Stoute/ Ryan Moore) must also be respected.