Wednesday, October 01, 2014

5 more poor meetings today

another day with 5 meetings, but all at a very low level. The most valuable races are at Nottingham, the 10 furlongs handicap at 16.45 CET and the 6 furlongs handicap at 17.50 have much better prize-money than is normal here, but they are only average class 3 races. Big fields and very open betting in each however and very tricky for punters; our very hesitant selections are Raze Your Gaze (Clive Cox/ Ryan Tate) in the former and Diamond Lady (William Stone/ Freddie Tylicki) in the latter event.
There is also flat racing in the U.k. this afternoon at Salisbury and Newcastle. At the former track, the 10 furlongs handicap at 16.55 has attracted quite a select field and we are interested in the lightly-raced Basem (Saeed bin Suroor/ Richard Hughes). He has won two of his 3 starts and is out of the German Group One winner Gonbarda, which makes him a half-brother to the top- class Farhh. This is a much tougher race than the ones he has contested so far, but we hope that he is up to the task.
The most interesting race at Newcastle is the 2 mile handicap at 17.40 in which Moscato (Sir Mark Prescott/ Luke Morris) looks certain to start a hot favourite. he has been given a typical Prescott preparation and has won 3 of his last 4 races since being moved up in trip. He could easily score again, but he is not a good bet at his likely orice and we prefer fellow 3yo Arcamante (Karl Burke/ Danny Tudhope), who is still a maiden but has been placed several times and is certainly capable of winning off this rating.
In Ireland there is an all-chase fixture at Sligo. We like Plan A /Gordon Elliott/ Mark Walsh) in the 2 1/2 mile handicap at 17.25; he has clearly had his problems, but the stable is now in great form.


Betting forecast:
1. Race: Just Us Two - Able Spirit - Kill Or Cure
2. Race: Imperial Link - Waldnah - Chapel Choir
3. Race: Hillgrove Angel - Philba - North Bay Lady
4. Race: Raise Your Gaze - Donny Rover - Excellent Puck
5. Race: Faure Island - Unforgiving Minute - Emef Diamond
6. Race: Triple Chocolate - Arctic Feeling - Amadeus Wolfe Tone
7. Race: Eternitys Gate - Dusty Storm - Only Ten Per Cent