Friday, September 26, 2014

Newmarket Cambrigeshire meeting: day two

The Newmarket meeting continues with a very strong card, featuring two Group Two races and three listed races. The best race is the Joel Stakes over a mile at 16.15 CET, and although the real top milers are missing, this is still a hot race. Tulliius (Andrew Balding/ Jimmy Fortune) has been placed in the Lockinge and Queen Anne, and is top-rated here, he clearly Comes on the short lost. So does the very consistent Captain cat (Roger Charlton/ James Doyle) who has been in great form all year. Another 5yo Custom Cut (David O´Meara/ Danny Tudhope) has won his last 4 races, but this looks much tougher. Of the 3yo´s in tzhe field we like best Outstrip (Charlie Appleby/ Adam Kirbyx) and Wannabe Yours (John HGosden/ William Buick) best. Thelatter is unbeaten in 3 starts this year and although up again in grade cannot be ignored, but the former - well behind Kingman on all starts this year- is coming off a break and with his stable in terrific form this week could be the one, bearing in mkind his smart form last year, when he won the Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf.

The other group race is the 7 furlongs event for 2yo fillies at 15.40, where most of the runners are moving up in grade. This is however not true of Lucida (Jim Bolger/ Kevin Manning), who has been runner-up in two of Ireland´s top races for juvenile fillies; her neck second last time in the Moyglare is clearly the best form in today´s field, and is she can repeat that effort after only 12 days, she should win here. New Providence (Hugo Palmer/ Jim Crowley) is next best.

When a trainer suddenly hits form the way Charlie Appleby has this week, it is often a wise move to back erverything the stable runs, and we certainly like Penglai Pavilion in the listed race over 1 1/2 miles at 16.45. He was fifth in last year´s Arc, and although his 3 efforts this year have been disappointing, that form would certainly suffice here, although he would not like the ground to dry out too much. The obvious danger is Windshear (Richard Hannon/ Richard Hughes); the Hannon stable is not known for stayers but this one ran fourth in the St. Leger, and could even find today´s trip too sharp.

The two listed races for fillies that open the card could both go to big owner-breeder Cheveley Park: at 14.40 with Provenance (Sir Michael Stoute/ Ryan Moore) and either Queen of Ice (William Haggas/ Hughes) or Criteria (Gosden/ Buick) half an hour later.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Belle D`or - Provenance - Zibelina
2. Race: Criteria - My Spirit - Queen Of Ice
3. Race: Lucida - New Providence - Calypso Beat
4. Race: Tullius - Wannabe Yours - Captain Cat
5. Race: Windshear - Red Galileo - Nabucco
6. Race: Hathal - Consort - Algaith
7. Race: Munaaser - Gm Hopkins - Mange All
8. Race: Moshe - Micras - Inspector Norse