Wednesday, September 24, 2014

Listed race at Goodwood

Easily the best race of the day is the listed event over 10 furlongs at 16.50 CET at Goodwood. In theory Grandeur (Jeremy Noseda/ Ryan Moore) has to win this, as he did last year. In fact he has won on his 3 previous visits to Goodwood and is clear top-rated here. He has had a pretty hectic schedule, having run 3 times in New York this summer- winning quite a lot of place money, has run in Hong Kong and also won last winters top race at Lingfield. The only conceivable danger could be Danadana (Luca Cumani/ Andrea Atzeni), who has been running in group races and was third in Turkey last time. However, although consistent, he does not have the class of Grandeur and has not won for ages. The two 3yo fillies Be My Gal (Roger Charlton/ James Doyle) and Marsh Daisy (Hughie Morrison/ Silvestre de Sousa) both won listed races at the May meeting here and are next best. The 1 172 mile handicap which follows at 17.25 looks tricky, as there are question marks over every runner. Amanda Perrett, who usually does well at her local course, has 2 runners here - as does another local trainer Will Knight- and our choice is Pack Leader (de Sousa), whose only career win came at this track. Winning course form is always a big advantage here, so we also choose Bravo Echo (Mike Attwater/ Rab Havlin) in the 7 furlongs handicap half an hour later; he won over CD in June, although his more recent form is poor.

The other two flat meetings - at Redcar this afternoon and Kempton this evening- are very undistinguished, while there are small felds at the only jumps meeting at Perth. The only race with normal each-way betting at the Scottish track is the 3yo hurdle at 17.45. David Pipe has sent Sinndar´s Man (Scu) on a long journey to run here and he will probably start favourite, but our preference is for Uplifted (Kevin Ryan/ Brian Hughes), who meets Irish challenger High Expectations (Gordon Elliott/ Tony McCoy), who beat him over this CD last time, on better terms today.