listed race this evening

Highlight of today´ s 6 cards in the U.K. and Ireland is the listed race for 2yo´s over a mile at 19.40 CET at Salisbury. Only 5 runners, but 4 of them look distinctly promising and could well be disputing group races before long. The Hannon stable has won this 4 times in tjhe last 5 years and Tupi (Richard Hughes) should certainly be involved; he was promoted to second place last time at Deauville on desperate ground and today´s conditions will undoubtedly be better. Winters Moon (Saeed bin Suroor/ Andrea Atzeni), who as the only filly in the field gets 5 lbs from all the others, finished third in a Group Three at Newmarket and that form is also strong. However our choice is Elm Park (Andrew Balding/ David Probert), who win in good style at Newbury last time; he runs here in preference to next week´s Zukunfts-Rennen at Baden-Baden. Balding is having a great run and can also win the 1 1/2 mile handicap for 3yo´s over 1 1/2 miles half an hour later with Der Meister (Oisin Murphy), unbeaten after two wins in more modest company,but probably well up to this grade; His dam Agnetha is German-bred and was once the top-priced lot at Baden-Baden´s yearling sales.
Balding and Probert can earlier be on the mark at Sandown with Man of Harlech in the 3yo mile handicap at 16.35, although this is a very tricky race and several lightly-raced runners can be expected to improve markedly from their present rating. One of the dangers is certainly Basem (Saeed bin Suroor/ Hughes), who is a half-brother to Champion Stakes winner Farhh out of German Group One winner Gonbarda.
There is also low-level racing at Thirsk this afternoon and at Wolverhampton this evening, while they go over jumps at Bangor and in Ireland at Down Royal, where there is an all-hurdles card. There are some very small fields at Bangor, but AP McCoy, currently in unstoppable form, has 5 rides and can be expected to continue his winning run.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Lady Crossmar - George Baker - Beep
2. Race: Fast Dancer - Grenade - Ickymasho
3. Race: Stolen Story - Seebeedee - Jersey Belle
4. Race: Winters Moon - Tupi - Elm Park
5. Race: High Church - Der Meister - Cape Caster
6. Race: Taws - Laser Blazer - Cinnilla