Thursday, August 28, 2014

group race in Ireland this evening

once again Ireland comes to the rescue today with a group race this evening at Tipperary, as the 5 U.K. meetings, 2 of them over jumps, are all very poor and with some small fields as well.
The main event is the Fairy Bridge Stakes for fillies and mares over 7 1 /2 furlongs at 19.30 CET and rather surprisingly Aidan O´Brien has no runner here. Instead it is Dermot Weld who can dominate; he saddles 2 runners, the 4yo Big Break (Liam Roche) and the 3yo Tested, the choice of stable Jockey Pat Smullen. Tested ran a good race last time when runner-up at Galway, but today´s opposition looks stronger and it would be no great surprise to see Big Break, a sister to Famous Name who was second in s similar race over this CD last October, finish in front of her this evening, especially if it rains. Purr Along (Johnny Murtagh/ Jamie Spencer) looks a big danger on her fourth place in a Newmarket Group One last time, while Witches Brew (Eddie Lynam/ Seamie Heffernan), whose trainer is having such a tremendous summer, also comes into the equation.
There could al,so be some Irish-trained winners in the U.K. today, as Pat Shanahan sends 4 runners to the Welsh track Ffos Las and they could all finish in the money. We especially like Prince Jock (Richard Hughes) in the mile handicap at 17.05, as long as he does not "bounce".
Normal each-way bettting is impossible at Fontwell today and punters should probably leave this meeting alone; AP McCoy rode 4 winners at Worcester yesterday and could repeat the feat here, though none of his rides are likely to start at generous odds.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Forebear - Acting Talent - Estrelita
2. Race: Hail The Hero - Dunquin - Zafilani
3. Race: Toscanelli - Fields Of May - Fit For The Job
4. Race: Tested - Big Break - Purr Along
5. Race: Kodiac`s Back - Millington - Succeed And Excel
6. Race: Amazing Star - Aurelia Cotta - Laviniad
7. Race: Red Rocks Point - Nonchalant - Ebasani