Monday, February 03, 2014

3 poor meetings today

poor racing at today´s 3 Cards, and while Kempton and Wolverhampton stage all-weather flat racing, there is N.H. action at a very poor level at Southwell. This can be a tricky course, especially in today´s testing condtions, and it usually pays to stick with horses that have already shown good course form. We therefore make Anay Turge (Nigel Hawke/ Kieron Edgar) out best bet of the day in the novice hurdle at 15.15 CET; this 9yo is a smart chaser over this trip of 2miles, but had never won over hurdles until 12 days ago when easily scoring over this CD; he has a 7 lbs penalty now but the opposition does not look formidable and he can follow up here. Hopatina (Neil Mulholland/ Michael Byrne) has been much improved this season, winning all 3 starts including this CD, and can complete a fourtimer in the handicap hurdle at 15.50; he is up a lot in the weights, but again the opposition looks weak.
Easily the best flat racing comes Wolverhampton where the 2 miles handicap at 16.40 looks competitive even with only 6 runners. As is often the case, most of them have been running over hurdles and Communicator (Andrew Balding/ David Probert) ran a great race on his hurdles debut before Chtistmas when runner-up to the smart Josses Hill at Newbury. Since then he has also run a good race on the flat and is the selection here; However Kashmir Peak (John Quinn/ Tom Eaves) is by far the best of these over hurdles and is entered in the Betfair Hurdle on Saturday; he can certainly make a race of it with the selection. In the 8 1/2 furlongs conditions race at 18.10. we shall take a chance on Birdman (David Simcock( Andrea Atzeni), although he is badly off at the weights; however he is in good form which counts for a lot in such events.
The best race at Kempton is the mile handicap at 17.00 which looks wide open. Our tentative selection is Silverheels (Paul Cole/ Jim Crowley), who has dropped down the ratings a bit but has not run at all badly on his last starts in arguably hotter company.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Royaume Bleu - Over And Above - Somerby
2. Race: Trozulon - Farbreaga - Royal Riviera
3. Race: Flementime - Brave Vic - El Indio
4. Race: Anay Turge - Vikekhal - Vivaccio
5. Race: Hopatina - Silver Wren - Knockraheen
6. Race: Alaccordion - Cloudy Dawn - Fidelor
7. Race: Whispering Harry - Marleno - Lodgician