Wednesday, December 04, 2013

4 meetings today

we have two jumps meetings today, at Catterick and Ludlow, and two all-weather meetings, Lingfield with an early start at 13.00 CET and Wolverhampton with a twilight card starting at 16.50.
Tony McCoy is enjoying a tremendous run and continues his tour of Yorkshire today at Catterick where we expect him to ride more winners. He should win the beginners chase at 14.50 on Jonjo O´Neill´s Holywell, who was a very smart hurdler and winner at the Cheltenham Festival. His chasing debut on heavy going was a bit disappointing, but the ground is much better today and if he jumps round safely he certainly ought to beat these opponents. We also like David O´Meara´s German-bred Maison De Ville in the mares novice hurdle at 15.30. The Sholokhov filly, owned by Hoppegarten boss Gerhard Schöningh, was placed in four bumpers and can win on her hurdling debut, with Irish raider Sultana Belle (Steven and Stuart Crawford) the main danger.

The best race at Ludlow is the handicap chase over 3 miles+ at 15.10, which looks very tricky. On this ground, the distance may be too short for One in a MIlan (Evan Williams/ Adam Wedge), but course specialist Cootehill (Nigel and Sam Twiston-Davies) and Talkonthestreet (Philip Hobbs/ Richard Johnson) have obvious chances, while of the top weights we prefer Pickamus (Henry Daly/ Andrew Tinkler), who made a decent comeback in a hot race at Cheltenham 7 weeks ago after 18 months off. Williams and Wedge possibly have better prospects with Lancetto at 15.40; this close relation to Lando should find conditions to his liking today. Portway Flyer (Ian Williams/ Gavin Sheehan) won so easily last week at Doncaster that he should follow up under a penalty at 16.10, but will be at a short price.

Easily the best racing on the all-weather is at Lingfield, although there are only 5 runners in the conditions race over 10 furlongs at 14.30. Bancnuanaheirann (Mike Appleby/ Tom Queally) and Uramazin (Phillip Hide/Jim Crowley) stand out here; they were second and third in a well-contested listed race here last month and should fight out the finish this time. The 5 furlongs handicap at 14.00 is a better betting race and the field includes two Group One winners, Tangerine Trees (Bryan Smart/ Graham Lee), winner of the 2011 Abbaye, and Prohibit (Robert Cowell/ Crowley). Cowell, who is Hong Kong with another of his sprint stars, has 3 runners here, but we shall keep the faith with Prohibit, despite his rather in-and-out form.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Great Link - To The Sky - Emiratesdotcom
2. Race: King Massini - Bobcatbilly - Ultimatum Du Roy
3. Race: Buxom - Western Approaches - Flying Phoenix
4. Race: One In A Milan - Faultless Feelings - Talkonthestreet
5. Race: Oscar Hill - Anay Turge - King Edmund
6. Race: Portway Flyer - Motou - Moscow Me
7. Race: Side Step - Centoria - Fire Tower