Wednesday, May 22, 2013

6 poor meetings today

once again. very low level racing all round today, when we have 3 meetings on the flat and three over jumps.
At Lingfield, the first 4 races are on turf and the last 4 on the all-weather polytrack. The most interesting race is the maiden at 15.30 CET in which Sir Henry Cecil saddles two runners, with clear preference for the very well-bred Emperical (Tom Queally).There arre two German-breds in the 1 3/4 mile handicap at 16.30, both winning hurdlers - top-weight Kayef (Michael Scudamore/ Willie Twiston-Davies) and bottom-weight Aviso (David Evans/ Andrea Atzeni) - one time winner of the German 2,000 Guineas; but is far below that form these days and also running in our opinion over the wrong distance. Kayef however should have a decent each-way chance in this company.
There is also all-weather racing this afternoon at Southwell, with the remarkable 10yo gelding La Estrella (Don Cantillon/ Dane O´Neill) running in the claimer over 1 1/2 miles at 16.50. He has won his last 13 starts at this track, most of them over this distance,and we expect hm to win again, although Noguchi (Mike Morphy/ Neil Callan), who is in good form and won his only start here, could prove troublesome.
Flat racing this evening is also on the all-weather - at Kempton, where the best race is the 3yo handicap over 1 1/2 miles at 21.00. Most of the runners are relatively lightly-raced and unexposed and we think that top-weight Portmonarch (David Lanigan/ Ted Durcan), who is still a maiden but has shown some ability, could come out on top.
Over jumps, Sea Lord (John Ferguson/ Denis O´Regan) should win the novice hurdle at 16.40 at Huntingdon, although Flashy Star (Sheena West/ Marc Goldstein) is a possible danger in receipt of 18 lbs; debutant Checkpoint (Gary and Jamie Moore), a half-brother to the above-.mentioned Emperical, is another danger, but Sea Lord won easily enough last time and was group class on the flat. Double Handful (Lawnay Hill/ David Bass), who we remember making the running in the 2009 German Derby, makes his chasing debut at 15.40, as does the Moores´ Kambis; on hurdling ratings they should not beat Robbie (Keith and James Reveley) bjut we are still hopeful. Another ex-German is Sommersturm (David Evans/ Aidan Coleman) in the handicap hurdle at 21.50 at Worcester; he has not run over hurdles for 1 1/2 years but is very nicely handicapped and has been in good form on the flat, winning 3 times on the all-weather this year. He should go close this evening.
There is an all-hurdles card at Sligo in Ireland, where the main event is at 20.40 with two runners trained by Willie Mullins. Ruby Walsh rides On His Own (who fell in the Grand National when strongly fancied). Coincidence backers can double him up with On My Own (John Hills/ Seb Sanders) in the 18.30 at Lingfield.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Minority Interest - Uncle Roger - Mr Lando
2. Race: Da Do Run Run - Ataraxis - Loafer
3. Race: Highly Likely - Foxhaven - Hurakan
4. Race: Honest Strike - Ginger Fizz - Kayef
5. Race: Rakaan - Saharia - Elusive Hawk
6. Race: At A Clip - Bright Glow - Winter Song
7. Race: Kinglami - Poetic Lord - Dimitar
8. Race: Prince Of Burma - Cyflymder - Bajan Story