Monday, April 15, 2013

4 flat meetings today

there are 4 flat meetings today, all on turf, but none at a very high level. Low grade handicaps dominate, and at Newcastle we hope to see David O´Meara and Danny Tudhope land a double with Morocco over a mile at 16.30 CET and Dick Bos over 7 furlongs an hour later. Both are very lightly-raced and probably well handicapped, and both were previously with other trainers; O´Meara has repeatedly shown that he can improve such horses quite significantly. German-bred A Southside Boy (Jim Goldie/ Graham Lee) also has a chance here in the 1 1/2 mile handicap at 18.00, as long as the ground does not dry out as the Samum gelding had shown his best form, both on the flat and over hurdles, on very soft going.
O`Meara also has a chance in the mile handicap at 16.40 at Redcar with top-weight Two for Tea (DH Bergin). However here we prefer Destiny Blue, from another in-form team- Brian Ellison and Dale Swift- and recent Yarmouth winner Azrael (Alan McCabe/ Paul Hanagan).
At Windsor we shall give another chance to Atlantis Crossing (Jim Boyle/ Matthew Davies) in the mile handicap at 16.50; we fancied him at Kempton on Saturday, only for him to give trouble at the start and be withdrawn. The very lightly-raced Mean It (David Simcock/ Jamie Spencer) and the consistent Authoritarian (Richard Hannon/ Richard Hughes) are the obvious dangers in a very open race. The 3yo maiden here at 17.20 looks interesting, with some well-bred runners from top stables, including Strength and Honor (Sir Michael Stoute/ Ryan Moore), a half-brother to several smart performers, notably Derby winner and sire High Chaparral. Definitely one to watch.
Windsor starts its regular Monday series next week, but we already have a late start today at Leopardstown in Ireland. The first race at 1715 is a maiden for 3yo colts over 10 furlongs, and Aidan O´Brien and his son Joseph, whi had 3 winners here yesterday, can take this with Indian Chief, who showed great promise on his only start last season. They also have a chance in the fillies´ equivalent half an hour later, but the clear choice here on 2yo form is Scintillula (Jim Bolger/ Kevin Manning), runner-up in the Group One Moyglare Stakes.

Betting forecast Windsor:
1. Race: Anticipated - Rose Gloria - Queen Of The Tarts
2. Race: Cheworee - My Son Max - Taurus Twins
3. Race: Grand Denial - Benoni - Sand Boy
4. Race: Rocky Reef - Boots And Spurs - Mean It
5. Race: Punditry - He`s A Striker - Strength And Honor
6. Race: Garrisson - Gaelic Silver - Significant Move
7. Race: Attwaal - Bernisdale - Burnham