Thursday, August 23, 2012

rest of York Ebor Meeting: day two

another very high class card at York today, and the Group Two Lowther Stakes for 2yo fillies over 6 furlongs at 15.30 CET is the main supporting feature. Newfangled (John Gosden/ William Buick) is the obvious favourite here; she has won both her starts in the style of a very smart filly. She has not run since Royal Ascot, but this race has always been her target. Rosdhu Queen (William Haggas) is also unbeaten in two starts and is very speedy, but possibly better at 5 furlongs. Badr Al Badoor (James Fanshawe/ Hayley Turner) is also highly rated after winning her only start with ease,
but she had a setback afterwards and may need the race, while Baileys Jubilee (Mark Johnston/ Kieren Fallon) has run two good races in France, but may find this tougher. We are happy to go along with Newfangled, but she won´t be much of a price.
The DBS Premier Yearling Stakes for 2yo´s over 6 furlongs which opens the card at15.00 is worth a massive 142,622 GBP to the winner and even with the forecast favourite Blessington a non-runner, looks hugely competitive. With too many unknown factors, it is not a race to bet on, although the betting suggests that Rocky Ground (Roger Varian/ Neil Callan), Annunciation (Richard Hannon/ Jimmy Fortune) and Mister Marc (Hannon/ Richard Hughes) could be the 3 to concentrate on.
The listed Galtres Stakes for fillies and mares over 1 1/2 miles at 17.15 looks more straightforward. The Queen won this last year and can follow up with Sir Michael Stoute´s Sequence, but we prefer the very lightly-raced Pale Mimosa (Dermot Weld/ Pat Smullen). Weld is a trainer for whom we have the greatest respect and as we saw yesterday, only sends horses across the Irish Sea if he thinks they are going to win .
The two handicaps are as usual very difficult, especially the mile trace at 16.05, in whichsevetral of the lreading contestants ran in the Royal Hunt Cup. Prince of Johanne (Tom Tate/ John Fahy) won that race from Excellent Guest (George Margarson/ Tom Queally), but we prefer Invisible Man (Saeed bin Suroor/ Frankie Dettori), 5th at Ascot, biut now much better off at the weights. The two CD specialists Navajo Chief (Alan Jarvis/ Michael Murphy), who won the race last year, and Anderiego (David O´Meara/ Kieren Fallon) - with a strong German element in his pedigree- are two of many dangers. Our 3 against the field in the 7 furlongs fillies handicap at 17.50 are Instance (Jeremy Noseda/ William Buick), Ladyship (Sir Michael Stoute/ Frankie Dettori) and Riot of Colour (Ralph Beckett/ Jim Crowley).

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Rocky Ground - Mister Marc - Hototo
2. Race: Newfangled - Baileys Jubilee - Rosdhu Queen
3. Race: Trade Storm - Switzerland - Anderiego
4. Race: The Fugue - Shareta - Was
5. Race: Sequence - Pale Mimosa - Bite Of The Cherry
6. Race: Ladyship - Riot Of Colour - Whimsical