Tuesday, August 21, 2012

listed race at Gowran Park

plenty more poor racing today, with generally small fields as well, but there is a listed race at Gowran Park, a repeat of last week´s abandoned card. This is the Hurry Harriet Stakes for fillies and mares over 9 1/2 furlongs at 16.00 CET. There is always enough interest in these black type races for fillies and Coolmore have four of the ten runners, including our selection Chrysanthemum (David Wachman/ Wayne Lordan). She has to concede weight all round and has been off the track for over 3 months, but still looks the most reliable candidate. Aidan O´Brien trains the other 3, with son Joseph on Devotion, but she was well beaten on her recent starts, including in the Oaks at Epsom, where she did at least finish in front of Twirl (Colm O´Donoghue), also last in the Irish Oaks. Soon (Seamus Heffernan) looks well held on her latest run behind Shebella (Jopn Oxx/ Niall McCullagh) and the Aga Khan filly looks the main danger to Chrysanthemum.
Mark Johnston has a good strike rate at Brighton and it is interesting that he has sent his main jockey Joe Fanning there for two mounts. the 2yo debutant House of Orange, who has only two opponents at 15.15, and Chatterati in the 10 furlongs handicap at 16.15; the latter has a good US pedigree, but he has so far been disappointing, but he can be excused his latest poor performance at Kempton (where there was a problem with the traclk) and he must have a chance against this very poor opposition. Gary Moore is another trainer who does well here and we expect Whinging Willie (Adam Kirby) to run well in the mile handicap at 17.15, another bad race.
Mark Johnston can also have a winner at Yarmouth, where he has 2 runners in the 1 3/4 miles handicap at 16.35. Silvestre de Sousa partners Authentication, who has a very light weight afterr a string of poor performances, but we prefer German-bred Finity Run (Mirco Demuro). The stable can also take the 10 furlongs handicap half an hour earlier with Three Bards (de Sousa), a half-brother to German classic winner Portella.
Another German-bred we expect to do well is Solis (Dianne Sayer/ Ryan Mania) who runs in the 2 1/2 mile handicap hurdle at 16.25 at Perth. Solis, bred by Fährhof, usually runs well at this track and for this jockey, and this trip should suit him better than 3 miles over which he was 4th here last time. If all 8 run, he rates a good each-way bet.
To be honest, these are however not punter-friendly races and our best advice is to keep one´s powder dry for the big York meeting starting tomorrow.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Battle Of Marengo - Bunreacht - Twilight Zone
2. Race: Fromajacktoaking - Einsteins Folly - Horizon Sky
3. Race: Livia Galilei - Shelford - All That Rules
4. Race: Chrysanthemum - Devotion - Shebella
5. Race: Vedani - Brog Deas - Sulwaan
6. Race: Daisy Mountain - Xsquared - Apache Gold
7. Race: Power To Please - Azores - Teodolite