Thursday, June 07, 2012

7 meetings today

Lots of racing today. but once again very little quality with the majority of races class 5 or 6. The best race at Hamilton this afternoon is the mile handicap for fillies at 16.30 CET, in which top-weight All For You (Jim Goldie/ Graham Lee) should run well. She is lightly-raced for a 6yo and made a good seasonal debut last week at Ayr. Silly Gilly (RE Barr/ Shane B. kelly) also made a good start to 2012 ,last week and looks the main danger, although bottom-weight More Bottle (Tom Tate/ Paul Quinn) could be a threat if she can reporoduce her latest form, when she was placed at 33/1 at Beverley.

At Wolverhampton, the 1 3/4 mile handicap at 17.40 looks very open. Bottom weight Teak (Ian Williams/ Franny Norton) has won both his starts this year, both over 1 1/2 miles here; the extra distance should not be a problem, but this is a stronger race. Money Money Money (Rod and James Millman) was in great form in the first halkf of last year, winning 5 races, but has been off for 10 months, while Reem Star (Kevin and Amy Ryan), out of a German mare, was also very consistent last season but has been off the track for 6 months. With the stable in good form, she could run well, but Teak is still our selection.

At Lingfield the first 4 races are on turf and the last 4 on the all-weather. The handicap for 3yo fillies over 7 furlongs on turf at 16.20 is the best betting race here. Shaleek (Roger Varian/ Neil Callan) looks a bit of a bookmakers friend- she has been placed on all 4 career starts, but was hot favourite the last 3 times and is one to be treated with caution. We prefer Subtle Knife (Giles Bravery/ Kieren Fallon) winner over 6 furlongs on the all-weather here last time, My Sharona (Silvester Kirk/ James Doyle), not beaten far in a better race at the Epsom Derby meeting, and especially Amy Dorrit (John Gosden/ William Buick), who ran unaccountably badly on firm going at Newmarket last time. The two divisions of the 10 furlongs race for maiden fillies at 17.20 and 17.50 are too tricky to bet on, but should e watched carefully as there are bound to be several future winners engaged here.

However the race over the same trip for 3yo maidens at 21.30 at Sandown this evening looks a much stronger event. Biographer David Lanigan/ Ted Durcan), Cathedral (Brian Meehan/ Frankie Dettori) and Nabucco (Gosden/ Buick) have already shown promise, while Dr. Yes (Sir Henry Cecil/ Tom Queally) and Marias Choice (Sir Michael Stoute/ Ryan Moore) are both debutants from top stables whose dams were classic winners.

There are 3 N.H. meetings this evening, but the two British fixtures look very low grade and there are small fields as well. There is much better sport and also competitive fields at Tipperary in Ireland. The chase over 2 miles and a furlong at 20.20 has a good field. The Monsun gelding Shot from the Hip (Edward O´Grady/ Mark Walsh) is a horse we like; he beat Regal d´Estruval (Jim Culloty/ Tom Doyle) by a neck last time, but is now 4 lbs worse off, so theoretically should not be able to confirm the form.