Tuesday, January 24, 2012

3 meetings today

Leicester stages the only N.H, racing today, and with more rain forecast, the going could turn very heavy. This may not be to the liking of Crystal Rock (Nicky Henderson/ Andrew Tinkler) wh0 makes his fencing debut in the novice chase at 16.10 CET, but going by his decent hurdles form, he should still win this. Henderson´s only other runner here, Zama Zama in the opening novice hurdle at 14.35, should also win, although the concession of 7 lbs to Tarn Hows (Jennie Candlish/ Alan O´Keeffe) will not be easy. Two recent easy winners clash in the handicap chase at 15.05, Drom (Robin Dickin/ Ryan Mahon) and Esteem (David Evans/ Peter Hatton) and we prefer the former, even though he has a huge weight and has to concede 21 lbs to his rival. Tempest River (Barry Cash/ Daryl Jacob looks the logical choice to win the mares novice hurdle 15.40; her main rival could be Baby Shine (Lucy Wadham/ Leighton Aspell), but she finished well in front of that one when winning a listed bumper at t he Grand National meeting. Wadham and Aspell possibly have a better chance in the concluding handicap hurdle at 17.10 with German-bred Wiesentraum, who looks a good each-way bet in a very modest event.

At this time of year it usually pays to follow horses turned out quickly under a penalty for an easy win, and the Kempton all-weather card includes two runners who scored only two days ago, Kai Mook (Roger Ingram/ Martin Coumbe) in the fillies handicap at 18.00 and Torres del Paine (Jimmy Fox/ KT O´Neill) the 6 furlongs handicap half an hour later. both of whom won here in Sunday and can go in again. Best thing here is Mark Johnston´s Prussian (Joe Fanning), an eye-catching runner-up when running very green on her debut 10 day ago; she should certainly take the mile maiden at 17.00 but will probably be at a very short price.

Mark Johnston can also score at Southwell with Moataz (Franny Norton), who can follow up his Lingfield win on Saturday by taking the 3yo handicap at 16.50. Two CD specialists to watch here are Ingleby Arch (David Barron/ Lee McNiff) in the seller at 14.50, who always runs well here and is equally effective st 6 and 7 furlongs, and Even Stevens (Scott Dixon(Ryan Clark), 6 of whose 7 career wins have come at this track, mostly over today´s distance of 5 furlongs.