Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Listed race this evening at Kempton

Easily the best race at today´s 4 meetings in the U.K. is the listed race over 1 1/2 miles at 18.30 CET at this evening´s all-weather meeting at Kempton. Ex-German Bolivia (Lucy Wadham/ Luke Morris) runs here; she had smart form in Germany in 2009, but has shown very little on her U.K. starts so far. On her best German form, she would have a good chance, but we would rather wait and see, and prefer Laaheb (Roger Varian/ Richard Hills), who usually makes the running; he has not won this year, but has mainly been running in much stronger events. Barbican (Alan Bailey/ Ryan Moore) keeps on improving, but probably needs to improve further to trouble Laaheb.

Nicky Henderson has a tremendous strike rate this season, and we expect him to score with both of his runners today. He has booked Tony McCoy for the Queen´s Open Hearted, who makes his debut over hurdles at 13.40 at Uttoxeter and is expected to go on to much better things. At Hereford, Henderson saddles Floreat (David Bass) in the bumper at 16.50. There is very little form to go on here - more than half the field are running for the first time under rules, as is Floreat, but the stable´s reputation ensures that he is likely to start a hot favourite.

Paul Nicholls and Donald McCain are two more trainers in great form, and they can also both land a double. Nicholls with Escort´Men at 14.20 at Hereford and Final Gift half an hour later, both partnered by Daryl Jacob; and McCain with Cuban Piece at 14.30 at Catterick and Our Mick at 16.00, both ridden by Jason Maguire.