Sunday, November 27, 2011

4 N.H. meetings today

4 jumps meetings today, two each in Britain and Ireland, and the best racing comes from Navan in Ireland. There are some huge fields here, with 26 running in the main feature, the Troytown Chase at 15.20 CET, one of Ireland´s top 3 mile handicaps. Prince de Beauchene (Willie Mullins/ Ruby Walsh) and Tharawaat (Gordon Elliott/ Davy Russell) are the classiest runners, but also have the highest weights, and we expect the winner to come from lower down the card. German-bred Prince of Fire (Charlie Swan/ David Casey) out of an Acatenango mare -seems fairly weighted and could have an each-way chance in a very competitive event. Elliott also has a fancied runner in the Grade Two novice hurdle at 13.45 with Mount Balbunben (Davy Condon), but we just prefer the unbeaten Texas Jack (Noel Meade/ Paul Carberry). Mullins has booked Ruby´s sister Katie to partner Hats and Heels in the listed mares bumper at 16.25 and she must have a good chance.
Mullins has put his nephew Emmet up on Ceol Rua in the mares novice hurdle at Wexford at 14.25 and she will probably be the hottest favourite of the day. Another likely winner here is Merchant Royal in the hunter chase at 16.05. It seems rather unfair of Dermot Weld to book Robbie McNamara in these events for amateur riders only, as he is a better jockey than most of the professionals!
In the U.K. we expect Donald McCain and Jason Maguire, who brought off the unusual feat of winning the top events at two meetings yesterday, to continue their good run at Carlisle with Avenging Aces at 13.50, Mountain Hiker at 14.55, Glenwood Knight at 15.25 and Chester Lad at 16.00. None of these is bombproof, but we think that Chester Lad, having his first run for the stable, is probably the best bet.
The card at Leicester is poor, but Tony McCoy graces proceedings and he can land a double with Not til Monday for John Jenkins at 15.10 and Speed Master for Nicky Henderson at 15.40. We are less convinced by Jonjo O´Neill´s Castlerock in the handicap hurdle at 16.45 and prefer the consistent Taste the Wine (Bernard Llewellyn/ Robert Williams).

Betting forecast:
1. Race: His Excellency - Chill - Argocat
2. Race: Texas Jack - Mount Benbulben - Rebel Fitz
3. Race: Down Under - Starling Lady - Lochan Lacha
4. Race: Formidableopponent - Dantes King - True Character
5. Race: Prince De Beauchene - Groody Hill - Some Target
6. Race: Flemenstar - Nearest The Pin - High Desert
7. Race: Hats And Heels - Supreme Carolina - Missunited