Wednesday, July 06, 2011

German-breds to score today?

Six low-level meetings today, but there could be value in backing some German-breds running at four different tracks. At Bath in the 2 mile+ handicap at 17.10 CET, Salontyre (Bernard Llewellyn/ David Probert), from a good Wittekindshof family, can go one better after being beaten a short head last time at Chepstow. Half an hour later, Aviso (David and Richard Evans), winner of the German 2000 Guineas back in 2007, has a good each-way chance despite top weight in a handicap over 10 furlongs.

At Catterick the main event is also a 2 mile handicap at 16.20 and the Fährhof-bred Los Nadis (Jim Goldie/ Lee Newman) has an obvious chance after winning easily at Musselburgh last week. Northern Flyer /John Quinn/ Declan Carroll) could also run well in the tricky 7 furlongs handicap and an hour later, while earlier the lightly-raced In Babylon (Anne Duffield/ Dale Swift) should go well in the 3yo handicap over the same trip at 15.50.

Our best bet of the day is another German-bred running over hurdles at Worcester this evening. Geneva Geyser (Lady Herries/ Leighton Aspell) was quite a decent flat handicapper and won nicely on his debut over sticks. He can win again at 19.10, where the other penalised runner Cerabinier (Nicky Henderson/ Tony McCoy) looks the main danger. McCoy can land a double later on with `Declan Carroll´s much improved Spice Bar in the handicap hurdle at 21.10 and Rebecca Curtis´ Black Jack Blues in the novice chase half an hour later.

Andrew Balding has his string in great form and has chances of a double at Kempton´s all-weather meeting this evening with King Ferdinand (David Probert) in the 6 furlongs handicap at 20.20 and Frances Stuart (Jimmy Fortune) over a mile at 21.50.