Friday, July 29, 2011

Friday at Goodwood

The Glorious Goodwood meeting goes into its fourth day today, when the main event is the Group Two Richmond Stakes for 2yo´s over 6 furlongs at 16.45 CET. The race has been monopolised by Richard Hannon in recent years and he can score again with Habour Watch (Richard Hughes). He is unbeaten after two starts and although there is some tough opposition here, he can defeat 9 previous winners.

From the German point of view, the Group Three Oak Tree Stakes for fillies over 7 furlongs at 17.50 is the most interesting race, as there are two German fillies in the line-up, Rockatella (Werner Hefter/ Paul Hanagan) and Magic Eye (Andreas Löwe/ Hugh Bowman), who is to stay on in England after the race, having been sold to a British owner/breeder. They finished second and third, in that order, at Bremen last time out but of course this is a stronger race. Tropical Paradise (Peter Winkworth/ Ian Mongan) won it last year, but we do not fancy her this time. Maqaasid (John Gosden/ Richard Hills) and Rimth (Paul Cole/ Olivier Peslier) ran respectably in the English and French 1,000 Guineas, but we will take a chance on Memory (Hannon and Hughes again!), who has blotted her copybook by twice refusing to race, but has an excellent chance if she gets off on level terms.

The card opens with the Group Three Glorious Stakes over 1 1/ 2 miles, in which two previous German Group One runners are engaged - Campanologist (Saeed bin Suroor/ Frankie Dettori) and Jukebox Jury (Mark Johnston/ Neil Callan), who will probably make the running. However our choice is Redwood (Barry and Michael Hills) who won this last year and has run well in some tough races since.

The big betting race is the totesport Mile at 16.10 which is always one of the toughest handicaps of the entire season. Green Destiny (William Haggas/ Adam Beschizza) is the clear favourite here after his impressive win in the John Smiths Cup at York. With only a token 3 lbs penalty he is officially 10 lbs well in here, but that race was over 1 1/4 miles and it is not certain that he is equally effective over this trip.