Today´s racing in the U.K. is much better than yesterday or Monday, and Carlisle stages its biggest meeting of the year, featuring the historic races Carlisle Bell and Cumberland Plate, dating back to 1599 (when the first Queen Elizabeth was on the throne). The Carlisle Bell is now a mile handicap at 16.35 CET and looks fiercely competitive, with 16 runners, 8 of whon are last-time-out winners.
Mont Ras (David O´Meara/ Silvestre de Sousa), from a team in great form, is our selection here. He showed nothing in 3 starts last year for Ed Dunlop, but was gelded after being sold cheaply to his present cnnections and was off the track for 10 months. However he has made tremendous progress this year winning all 3 starts, and although he is penalised for winning on Saturday, still looks very well handicapped. Pravda Street (Brian Ellison/ Tom Eaves) has a similar profile and is one of several dangers. The Cumberland Plate, a handicap over 11 1/2 furlongs at 17.10, looks equally difficult. Tweedledrum (Andrew Balding/Liam Keniry) could be the answer here.
Betting forecast:
1. Race: Pen Bal Crag - Dazzlin Bluebell - See Clearly
2. Race: Bedlam - Joshua The First - Yeomanoftheguard
3. Race: Ailsa Craig - Marjury Daw - One Scoop Or Two
4. Race: Mont Ras - Pravda Street - Flipping
5. Race: Easy Terms - Praxiteles - Tweedledrum
6. Race: Elusive Sue - Fairlie Dinkum - Bianca De Medici
7. Race: Doc Hay - Timeless Elegance - Ryedane
There are also a couple of decent handicaps at Salisbury. The mile race at 16.50 has 2 runners trained by Richard Hannon, top-weight Invincible Soul (Richard Hughes) and Suited and Booted (Pat Dobbs), who have both been below form this season but would have an obvious chance on 2010 form. Even more extreme is the case of Ordnance Row (Rogr Varian/ Neil Callan, who used to be trained by Hannon and who won a group race over this CD in 2008; a return to that form would surely see him win this. But with doubts over these, we prefer the more up-to-date claims of bottom-weight Huzzah (Barry and Michael Hills). Half an hour later, the other Hills twin Richard, can score on his father´s Fadhaa in the Bibury Cup, a 1 1/2 miles handicap for 3yo´s. Fadhaa was runner-up at Chester to Brown Panther, an impressive Royal Ascot winner since and now on course for the German Derby next week.
Betting forecast:
1. Race: Pink Sapphire - Shannon Spree - Dressed In Lace
2. Race: Minal - Red Senor - Red Seventy
3. Race: Mundana - Lay Time - Totheendoftheearth
4. Race: Leviathan - Vainglory - Hot Spark
5. Race: Fadhaa - Kinyras - Ardlui
6. Race: Here To Eternity - Dead Cool - Royal Liaison
7. Race: Mr Udagawa - Scorn - Fitz
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