Sunday, October 10, 2010

The Curragh, Goodwood and Bath

Both the top Irish flat track at the Curragh and Goodwood are staging their final meeting of 2010 today, with the Irish course featuring 3 listed races. The 6 furlongs event at 15.45 CET could go to U.K. raider Definightly (Roger Charlton/ Kevin Manning), who missed a good opportunity in England to go for this.The consistent Luisant is one danger; he has been placed 10 times in his last 11 starts, but has only ever won at Dundalk. If the ground is soft, then top-weight Snaefell and Jumbajukiba must also be considered. The race for 2yo fillies over a mile at^16.15 looks tricky. Hurricane Havoc (Jim Bolger/ Manning) and Rising Wind (Kevin Prendergast/ Chris Hayes) are both winners of their only start, but these were maidens on the provincial tracks and more is probably needed here. Aris (Paddy Prendergast/ Fran Berry) was 50/1 when third in good company last time, finishing well ahead of Aidan O´Brien´s two runners, so he is a hesitant choice now. The 1 1/2 mile race at 17.15 is another difficult race to solve. Top-weight She´s Our Mark (Pat Flynn/ Manning) was just touched off in a Group Three last time and is the selection, even though she is arguably better at shorter distances. Roses for the Lady (John Oxx/ Fran Berry) is a big danger, and if she can reproduce the form shown when runner-up in the Irish Oaks over this CD last year, must go close. The dark horse here is Aidan O´Brien´s Rain Forest (Johnny Murtagh), not seen out since winning two minor events in the spring. he is a 3/4 brother to Fame and Glory and could be anything.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Petronius Maximus - Vastitas - Shelley Beach
2. Race: Luisant - Definightly - Snaefell
3. Race: Aris - Hurricane Havoc - Gemstone
4. Race: Kokoro - Champion Boy - Hawk Dance
5. Race: Roses For The Lady - Harriers Call - Lady Lupus
6. Race: Big Occasion - Rock Medley - Kaladena
7. Race: Rossvoss - Dubawi Star - Giants Serapis




Richard Hughes continues his challenge for the jockeys´ championship at Goodwood and even rides in the opening race, a 2 mile handicap for N.H. jockeys. This is a bit cheeky, as Hughes is basically a flat jockey, but has also ridden over sticks (mainly for his father Dessie, himself a top jumps jockey). His mount Zelos Dictator will almost certainly start favourite, but like his main market rival Mohanad (Sheena West/ Jamie Goldstein) is repeatedly placed but rarely wins. Hughes has more conventional winning chances on Fleeting Echo , top weight in the 6 furlongs handicap at 15.35, and Compton Blue at 17.55, both trained by Richard Hannon, and on Brian Meehan´s Pearl Arch in the nursery at 16.10.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Zelos Diktator - Mohanad - Where`S Susie
2. Race: Fleeting Echo - Summerinthecity - Avertor
3. Race: Inside - Double Dealer - Colebrooke
4. Race: New Latin - Celtic Sixpence - Poppy
5. Race: Weapon Of Choice - Flodden - Iron Step
6. Race: Compton Blue - Bullet Man - Beaumont`S Party
7. Race: Shianda - Iron Condor - Dynamic Drive




The most significant feature of Bath`s fixture is that Sir Michael Stoute sends his stable jockey Ryan Moore to ride two of Dansili´s offspring for Khalid Abdullah: the well-bred debutante Hairstyle (out of Group One winner Quiff) in the maiden race for 2yo maiden fillies at 16.00, and the lightly-raced maiden Warm Memories in the 3yo handicap at 16.35.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Millyluvstobouggie - West Leake Bridge - Best Be Careful
2. Race: Hairstyle - Lady Bridget - Inimitable Romanee
3. Race: Aerodynamic - Warm Memories - Purple Gallery
4. Race: Grand Zafeen - Yurituni - Superior Edge
5. Race: Bilash - Nadinska - Brewers Boy
6. Race: Jasmeno - Potentiale - Pelham Crescent