Monday, July 12, 2010

mixed bag today

racing from all over today -Wales. Scotland, Ireland, but very little of it of significance. The flat meeting at Ffos Las is arguably the best meeting, but the fields there are small and only 5 line up in the main feature, a mile handicap at 17.20 CET. We fancy Opus Maximus (Mark Johnston/ Joe Fanning) here, although ex-German group race winner Aspectus (Jamie Osborne/Fergus Sweeney), who has top-weight here, would be a big danger if he could recover his old form. Johnston and Fanning can also take the 1 3/4 miles handicap at 16.50 with the admirable Lady Eclair, who has won 5 of her 9 career starts and has not finished winning yet. One ex-German horse that can score here is Aragall (George Baker/ Matthew Davies), who was heavily backed before winning a lady riders race last time and has little to beat in the 10 furlongs handicap at 16.20.
While Mark Johnston makes the long journey to South Wales, Mick Channon is travelling in the opposite direct and can win two races at Ayr, the fillies handicap at 16.00 with Hairspray, a winner at Epsom last week, and the 3yo handicap an hour later with top-weight Mejd, both ridden by Sam Hitchcott. James Given obviousy wants to win the 10 furlongs handicap here at 17.30, as he saddles 3 runners, including Marjury Daw (Paul Mulrennan), who has already won twice this month; however at these weights we prefer Chantilly Pearl (Royston Ffrench).
Richard Hannon is alwas the trainer to follow at Windsor, and in the 2yo maiden at 19.40 this evening he also saddles 3 runners, of whom Ryan Moore´s mount Jambo Bibi, placed on all 4 starts so far, is presumably the pick. Ryan can follow up on his father´s Red Yarn in the fillies handicap at 21.10; though still a maiden, she has been runner-up 4 times in her last 6 races and is overdue for a win.
This all-weather racing at Dundalk this afternoon and Wolverhampton this evening. At the latter meeting, the best event is the 7 furlongs handicap at 21.50, which has attracted a strong field. Prime Exhibit (Richard Fahey/ Lee Topliss) has been contesting top handicaps and may be able to defy top-weight, although Mr. Rainbow (Alan Swinbank/ Neil Callan) and Flowing Cape (Reg Hollinshead/ Jack Mitchell) both look dangerous. Johnny Murtagh looks the jockey to follow at Dundalk; he has fancied mounts in most races, and can land a double for Aidan O´Brien on Air Chief Marshall at 16.10 and Seven Summits at 17.40.
There is also a mixed meeting in Ireland at Killarney this evening. Main feature here is the chase over an extended 2 miles at 21.00. Ex-German Schelm (Ronnie O´Leary/ DG Hogan) is a smart performer in this grade and can concede weight all round.

Betting forecast Ffos Las:
1. Race: Pin Cushion - Admirable Duchess - Mount Acclaim
2. Race: Cockney - First Fandango - Woodford Belle
3. Race: Aragall - Shabak Hom - Dane Cottage
4. Race: Lady Eclair - Lady Hestia - Excelsior Academy
5. Race: Manassas - Opus Maximus - Aspectus
6. Race: Celtic Ransom - Catchanova - Scottish Boogie