Thursday, October 09, 2014

5 more poor meetings today

another day with mainly low grade racing at all 5 tracks. The going at Ayr is soft after the recent rain and horses drawn high possibly have an advantage. We therefore select Jumbo Steps (Jim Goldie/ Graham Lee) and The Nifty Fox (Tim Easterby/ James Sullivan) in the two divisions of the 6 furlongs handicap at 16.10 CET and 16.40 respectively. The best race here is the 7 furlongs handicap at 18.10. Trixie Malone (Karl Burke/ Peter McDonald) is coming off a 5 months break, but shows her best form of the soft and has been first or second on her last 7 starts. She can continue that sequence, while Secret Recipe (David Nicholls/ Paddy Aspell) is the dark horse here; he won twice on heavy ground in Ireland, but has been well beaten on all his U.K. starts; he is now very nicely handicapped and a return to this going may bring about a revival in his form.
There are 3 jumps meetings., with Exeter starting off for the season with some small fields. The going is still fast there, which should suit Irish raider Landau (Gordon Elliott/ Jason Maguire) in the novice hurdle at 17.20; As the only winner, he has to give weight away, but has by far the best form.
Most of the top N.H. jockeys are at Worcester, and AP McCoy can have another good day. El Macca at 17.00 and Highpower half an hour later are both unexposed types running in the McManus colours and look the most interesting of the champion´s 5 rides.
Ruby Walsh has won on both his mounts since returning to action last week. At Tramore he again has just one ride, Old Castletown for his father at 15.45 and can remain unbeaten in the new season.

Betting forecast Ayr:
1. Race: Battleranger - Sir Chauvelin - Woofie
2. Race: Captain Revelation - Mighty Warrior - Westhoughton
3. Race: Jumbo Steps - Spirit Of Alsace - Methaaly
4. Race: Captain Scooby - Cahal - Bearskin
5. Race: Margrets Gift - Fredricka - Red Forever
6. Race: Schmooze - Harrison`S Cave - Latin Rebel
7. Race: Trixie Malone - Alexandrakollontai - Evanescent
8. Race: Secret City - Rioja Day - Pitt Rivers