Monday, August 25, 2014

August Bank Holiday

today is August Bank Holiday in the U.K., which means that there is lots of racing in the afternoon (none in the evening) but mainly at a low level. The only black type race is the listed event for 2yo´s at 17.10 CET, in which all 7 runners have winning form. Richard Fahey and Tony Hamilton won this last year and are now represented by Izzthatright, but both his wins were over 5 furlongs, while Dark Reckoning (Ann Duffield/ Harry Bentley) won over this 6 furlongs last time; however the one to beat is Expensive Lady (Karl Burke/ Ben Curtis) whose third place on an Ascot fillies Group Three is clearly the best form on offer here. The big betting race here is the Ripon Rowels, a mile handicap at 17.45; 10yo Osteopathic Remedy (Michael Dods/ Connor Beasley) is trying to win this for the fifth time, but he has been raised in the weights for winning last time at Thirsk and would in any case prefer much softer ground that he is likely to find here. There are several other CDD specialists in the field, including Bartack, a winner here 9 days ago, but we prefer bottom weight Mujazif (David and Adrian Nicholls), who had finished just behind him at York and is now better off at the weights.
There is also some decent racing at Epsom, where the Amateur Riders Derby at 17.20 is always a popular event, although the horses running would not have reached Tattenham Corner by the time the real Derby would have finished. Nave (David Simcock/ Michael Murphy) goes well here and has already won the Lady Riders equivalent race, but has little in hand of consistent Echo Bravo (Luke Dace/ W Hogg) and Barwick (Lady Herries/ Ross Birkett). The 5 furlongs handicap at 16.10 is a very competitive race, and many of the runners have already met before, including Long Awaited (David Barron/ Ryan Moore)., who won in 2012. We shall take a chance on New Fforest (Andrew Balding/ Oisin Murphy), whose trainer has a good record here and who was not beaten far in the Epsom Dash on Derby Day.
Today is the last day of flat racing at Warwick, which from now on will only be staging jumps racing. However their final card is a pretty dismal effort. The best race by far is the 6 furlongs conditions race at 16.40. Arnold Lane (Mick Channon/ Dam Hitchcott), woinner of the Silberne Peiztsche at Munich last year, has to concede weight all round, and out of form Rex Imperator (William Haggas/ John Fahy) is best in on official ratings; our choice however is Goldream (Robert Cowell/ Richard Kingscote) who is consistent and last time out won the Shergar Cup Dash.

Betting forecast Warwick:
1. Race: Robin Park - Quite Smart - Vixen Hill
2. Race: Our Grey Lady - Debit - So Noble
3. Race: Fever Few - Free Rein - Byron`s Gold
4. Race: Gracie`S Games - Divertimenti - Mrs Warren
5. Race: Goldream - Rex Imperator - Clear Spring
6. Race: Loumarin - Pixeleen - Midnight Destiny
7. Race: Spray Tan - Baby Queen - Spic `N Span