Wednesday, July 02, 2014

group race at Fairyhouse this evening

once again the best race of the day is an evening group race from Ireland, the Brownstown Stakes for fillies and mares over 7 furlongs at 20.00 CET at Fairyhouse. With the usual great planning, this is run just a few minutes after a similar race at Hamburg and two days after a similar race in France. So obviously there are Irish-trained runners only at Fairyhouse, and the obvious candidates are Majestic Queen (Tracy Collins/ Pat Smullen) and Wannabe Better (Tommy Stack/ Wayne Lordan), both penalised for winning at Leopardstown last time. The latter is higher-rated, but the former probably beat better opposition, including Sparrrow (Aidan and Joseph O´Brien), Seas of Wells (John Oxx/ Declan McDonogh) and Califante (Tom Hogan/ Robbie Whelan),who all line up again today. We fancied Seas of Wells then and shall give her another chance today, although logically she looks held.
In the U.K. there are jumps meetings at Perth and Worcester this afternoon, and also flat racing from Catterick and later on at Chepstow and Kempton (a.w.). None of these is of great importance,but we do notice two old friends running in the stayers handicap hurdle at 16.10 at Perth: Los Nadis (Jim Goldie/ James Reveley) from a top Fährhof family, and Solis (Dianne Sayer/ Henry Brooke) out of an Acatenango mare. Of these we prefer the former, who has not won over hurdles for almost 3 years but usually runs well at Perth and is now very nicely handicapped. Both stay well enough and should appreciate this faster ground, so a German-bred forecast is a possibility. The danger is Ryton Runner (Lucinda Russell/ Craig Nicol), runner-up over this CD last time.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Monsieur Power - Bilderberg - Next Bend
2. Race: Cape Wolfe - Cruidin - Soebroto
3. Race: Majestic Queen - Wannabe Better - Sparrow
4. Race: Hatton Cross - Eljowzah - Oighear Fuar
5. Race: Blackstone - Royal Memory - Focussed
6. Race: Grecian Tiger - Snow Scene - Queen Of Alba
7. Race: Panama Hat - Sar Oiche - Port Merrion