Tuesday, December 31, 2013

today´s N.H. racing

there are 3 N.H. cards today, but the racing is mainly at a very low level and, with more rain about, the ground will be very testing everywhere.
The best sport comes as usual from Ireland and we expect top trainer Willie Mullins to continue on his winning ways at Punchestown. He has two runners in the 2 1/2 mile hurdle at 14.45 CET and they should take the first two places. Ruby Walsh partners Boston Bob, who has fallen the last twice - both in top chases - and now reverts to hurdles. He is apparently being aimed at the World Hurdle at Cheltenham, and if he keeps on his feet, has an obvious chance, even though this trip is on the short side. Stable companion Mourad (Paul Townend) looks the only danger, even though he has not run for 18 months. He is actually higher rated, but we assume Ruby knows what he is doing. Mullins and Walsh can also take the opening beginners chase with Touch the Eden at 13.45 and the 3yo hurdle at 15.15 with ex- French Adriana des Mottes, although in each case Paul Townend rides a dangerous second runner from the stable.
In England, German-bred Lord of House (Charlie Mann/ Gavin Sheehan) can follow up his Boxing Day win at Wincanton by taking the 2 mile handicap chase at 14.40 at Wincanton under a 7 lbs penalty. Another Boxing Day winner who can score under a penalty is Crookstown (Barry Case/ Daryl Jacob) at 16.10.
We are a bit doubtful about Samurai Way (Venetia Williams/ Aidan Coleman) and Roseneath (Andrew Hales/ Tony McCoy) in the staying handicap chase at 15.20, as we feel that the two favourites will not enjoy these conditions and we will therefore take a chance on Badgers Cove (Robin Dickin( Charlie Poste), who stays well and goes on the heavy. Another one who will like the ground is Todareistodo (Jim Old/ Micky Grant) at 16.20; he is up in trip here but ran last time as though that would be to his advantage.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Touch The Eden - You Must Know Me - Rogue Angel
2. Race: Solstice Knight - Troll D`oudairies - Luke`S Benefit
3. Race: Mourad - Boston Bob - Un Beau Matin
4. Race: Indian Icon - Adriana Des Mottes - Ashjar
5. Race: Truckin All Night - Mireya - Gilgamboa
6. Race: De Chissler - Shanroe Society - Getoutwhenyoucan
7. Race: Midnight Streaker - Miss Mardan - Ballychorus