Thursday, December 19, 2013

4 poor meetings today

there has been a lot of rain in parts of the U.K. and the going at Exeter and Towcester today will be softer than officially reported. Punters should therefore be careful with their selections, and there could well be more non-runners. The racing on offer is in any case very low grade, although early visitors to Exeter will at least have the pleasure of seeing Big Bucks, who is to work on the track before racing.
None of today´s runners can be mentioned in the same breath as Paul Nicholls´ champion, but his trainer could have a winner here with Bury Parade (Sam Twiston-Davies), who has just 3 opponents in the graduation chase at 14.50 CET. The best betting race here is the handicap chase at 15.50; Bincombe (Philip Hobbs/ Richard Johnson) has been put up 8 lobs for his latest win at Wincanton, but he is one of the few runners with a progressive profile and could go in again. He is Johnson´s only ride of the day.
Tony McCoy is riding at Towcester and should be among the winners. His best chances are probably Jonjo O´Neill´s In The Rough at 13.40 and Charlie Egerton´s Easy Beasy at 15.40. We also like Faith Keeper (Fergal O´Brien/ Conor Shoemark) in the novices handicap chase at 14.10. He won so easily last week at Huntingdon that he should be able to shrug off a 7 lbs penalty, especially as the opposition looks weak.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Centasia - Woodland Walk - Blue Buttons
2. Race: Shammick Boy - Mixologist - Headly`S Bridge
3. Race: Desert Cry - Lidar - Lamb`S Cross
4. Race: Stone Light - Born To Benefit - Danvilla
5. Race: Bincombe - Ballinvarrig - Umberto d`Olivate
6. Race: Padre Tito - Tagrita - V Neck
7. Race: Kings Apollo - Cash Injection - Admirable Duque