Wednesday, October 02, 2013

Lots of non-runners

There are lots of non-runners at today´ s 5 meetings, so punters should check before placing their bets. This is especially the case at Salisbury where has been a lot of rain and the going is now soft. Unfortunately several of our original fancies are now not running, which makes life difficult. There are so far 7 non-runners in the 6 furlongs handicap at 18.00 CET at Salisbury. This of course puts a totally different complexion on the race, and we now select consistent 3yo Tight Fit (Henry Candy/ Fergus Sweeney) and Accession (Clive Cox/ Adam Kirby). We also like Mister Impatience (Mark Johnston/ Liam Jones) in the 10 furlongs handicap at 16.55. He was regarded as a German Derby hope at the begnning of the season and likes soft ground; he is now on a nice weight and the stable continues in great form.

At Nottingham we shall take another chance on Solemn (Milton Bradley/ Seb Sanders) in the 5 furlongs handicap at 16.00; this 8yo brother to Group race Performer Penitent was a big disappointment last time, but we still believe that he is capaable of winning off this rating; among his 10 career wins are 2 over this CD. Muhdik (Mike Murphy/ Ryan Moore) could be the danger and in any case we expect the jockey to land a double on Sir Michael Stoute´s Adore at 16.35 and Luca Cumani´s Vermont at 17.10. There is also mainly low-level flat racing at Newcastle and this evening at Kempton (a.w.). They go over jumps at the Irish meeting at Sligo, where leading owner JP McManus has a large number of runners. We certainly expect him to take the opening mres beginners chase at 15.55; his two runners Dressedtothenines (EP Harty/ Niall Madden) and Speckled Wood (Christy Roche/ Alan Crowe) were both smart hurdlers and should dominate this event if they can jump fences as well as did hurdles.

Betting forecast for Salisbury:
1. Race: Magnus Maximus - Orion`s Bow - Strait Run
2. Race: Snow Sky - Hands Up - High Master
3. Race: Piping Rock - Rosso Corsa - Hartnell
4. Race: Lord Ofthe Shadows - Hipster - Breaking The Bank
5. Race: Nabucco - Mister Impatience - Noble Gift
6. Race: Figure Of Speech - Expert - Justice Day
7. Race: Accession - Rocky Reef - Tight Fit
8. Race: Chapter Five - Highway Code - Eshtyaaq