Sunday, August 18, 2013

listed race at Pontefract

the usual weak Sunday cards in the U.K. and even in Ireland today, but at least there is a listed race at Potefract, a 6 furlongs race for fillies at 16.45 CET. This looks very open, with 7 older horses against 5 3yo´s, but only few of them of genuine listed class. Of the older fillies and mares, we like Enrol (Sir Michael Stoute/ Shane Kelly) and the tough Galician (Mark Johnston/ Joe Fanning) best, but the winner seems more likely to come from the younger Generation. March (Marcvo Botti/ Luke Morris) isd consitent and was notz far behimnd ther useful Germamn Gracia Directa lasdt time at York, while Margys (Luca Cumani/ Andrea Atzeni) is top-rated as a result of her Group Two placing lat year; however she has been that form so far this year, and we prefer City Girl (Ralph Beckett/ Jim Crowley); she was behind March last time, but her dam won this and her previous form gives her chances.
The only other flat racing comes from the Irish all-weather track at Dundalk. Most of the 8 races are low grade affairs over short distances, the exception being the 10 1/2 furlongs handicap that closes the card at 18.45. Our selection is top-weight Steps to Freedom (Jessica Harrington/ Conor King), who is also a useful hurdler; this trip is possibly on the short side, but he is a classy performer and is 2 from 2 at this track. His jockey is the latest teenage riding sensation from Ireland, for whom a huge future is forecast.
There is also jumps racing, again at a low level, at Southwell and in Ireland at Tramore. Two German-breds could run into the money at Southwell, although we do not really expect them to win. Engai (David Bridgwater/ Tom Scudamore) makes his chasing debut at 15.30. He has been very consistent over hurdles, winning once and placed second 6 times this year, but fellow debutant Baccalaureate (Sue Smith/ Jonathan England) is rated much higher over sticks, while Avoca Promise (Charlie Egerton/ Sam Twiston-Davies) has already been placed twice over fences. Wiesentraum (Lucy Wadham/ Leighton Aspell) runs in the 2 1/2 miles handicap chase half an hour later. There are some quite useful performers in this small field, including the classy front-runner Billy Magern (Nigel and Sam Twiston-Davies); however he has a huge weight and we prefer Finger Onthe Pulse (Jonjo O´Neill/ Tony McCoy), whose trainer and jockeys have a tremendous strike rate at this track, and can score again with Ameri can Legend at 17.05.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Bahamian C - Muir Lodge - Urban Dreamer
2. Race: Fennell Bay - The Lock Master - Getabuzz
3. Race: Come Here Yew - Underwritten - Petella
4. Race: March - Minalisa - Artistic Jewel
5. Race: Mushaakis - Magistral - Gabrial`s Kaka
6. Race: Mahican - Gaspard - Montefeltro
7. Race: Solar Spirit - Keep It Dark - Loch Moy