Monday, July 08, 2013

Listed race this evening in Ireland

the best race today is the Irish listed race over 1 1/2 miles at 21.10 CET at Roscommon, with 5 3y´s taking on 4 older horses. The best of the older horses are El Salvador (Aidan and Joseph O´Brien), sixth in the Ascot Gold Cup last time, Il Fenomeno (Noel Meade/ Eric McNamara), a decent hurdler who has not run on ther flat for ages, as well as the very consistent Missunited (Mervyn Winters/ Seamus Heffernan), who has also been in good form over jumps. However there are question marks with all of them over this distance on fast ground, and we prefer the very lightly-raced 3yo Qewy (John Oxx/ Declan McDonough), up sharply in grade here after an easy maiden win at Navan. Oxx won the race last year with a 3yo and we think that he can double up.

In the U.K. racing is mainly at a low level and the ground, firming up all over in the current hot spell,means that there are some small fields as well as the likelihood of non-runners.

The best betting race is the 3 1/4 mile handicap chase at 16.45 at Newton Abbot; plenty of chances here but we go with the top-weight No Loose Change (Paul Nicholls/ Harry Derham). Nicholls can also take the beginners chase at 15.45 with Escudero (Nick Scholfield), who has not run for 2 years but was a promising young hurdler in 2011. Potentially the best runner here is Another Hero (Jonjo O´Neill/ Tony McCoy), who has won two bumpers in good style and now makes his hurdling debut at 15.15.

Today´s flat racing in Britain is unexciting, but we hope that two top-weights can score- Normal Equilibrium (Robert Cowell) in the 5 furlongs handicap at Ayr at 18.00 and Line of Reason (Paul Midgeley/ Kieten Fallon) over 6 furlongs at Ripon at 21.20 this evening. At Windsor, Wet Coast Dream (Roy Brotherton/ Mark Coumbe) can take the 5 furlongs handicap at 20.30; he won the race last year and looks well handicapped.