Tuesday, July 30, 2013

Glorious Goodwood starts today

one of the best and most pleasant race meetings of the English season starts today, Glorious Goodwood, which goes on until Saturday with a host of top class races and competitive handicaps. Unfortunately it is currently raining and the going, which was good to firm yesterday, is now good to soft in places.
Today´s main event is the Group Two Lennox Stakes over 7 furlongs at 16.05 CET. This is very much a specialist distance and we have a strong fancy for Garswood (Richard Fahey/ Ryan Moore), especially now that the rain has come. He was a good 4th in the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot after finishing only 7th in the 2,000 Guineas. which was too far for him. He is one of two 3yo´s in the field, the other being Professor (Richard Hannon/ Tom Queally), who has won his last 3 races. He is up in grade here and Hannon probably has better chances with his other two runners Libranno (Pat Cosgrave) and especially Producer (Richard Hughes), also a distance specialist and also a CD winner, a big advantage here. Aljamaaheer (Roger Varian/ Paul Hanagan) is the class act here, having won Ascot´s Summer Mile last time, but his 4 lbs penalty makes life difficult in this grade. Fencing (John Gosden/ William Buick), from a stable now hitting top firm, is a definite danger while the question mark in the race is Caspar Netscher (David Simcock/ Shane Kelly), winner of last year´s German 2000 Guineas. He was retired to stud but proved infertile and is now back in training. At his best he would have a chance, but we would ratjher wait and see.
The Molecomb Stakes for 2yo´s over 5 furlongs at 15.30 is the other group race today and some very sdüpeedy types are entered. Supplicant (Richard Fahey/ Ryan Moore) and Reroute (Ed Walker/ William Buick) both ran well enough at Royal Ascot to suggest that they can figure here and we expect one of them to be returned the winner. Anticipated (Hannon/ Hughes) was not far behind Supplicant at the Royal meeting and is an obvious alternative.
The handicapsd are as always very difficult indeed. In the opening 10 furlongs race at 14.55 we like the top weights Labarinto (Sir Michael Stoute/ Moore) and Nabucco (Gosden/ Buick), though neither is well drawn. Mark Johnston alwayd does well at this Meeting and has said that German-bred Oriental Fox (Joe Fanning) is his best chance of the week; the ex-Swiss runner was only caught on the line in the Northumberland Plate last time and can go one better here. Johnston and Fanning also have prospects with Desert Revolution at 17.50, although it is quite an ask to expect him to win a race of this standard on only his third career start. Possibly the unpronounceable Bancnuanaheirann (Mike Appleby /Tom Queally), an unlucky runner-up in this last year, can give the commentator a headache and score this time.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Fast Or Free - Nabucco - Clon Brulee
2. Race: Supplicant - Anticipated - Reroute
3. Race: Aljamaaheer - Fencing - Producer

4. Race: Oriental Fox - Silver Lime - Duke Of Clarence
5. Race: Sacha Park - Mystique Rider - Brazos
6. Race: Desert Revolution - Captain Cat - Democretes
7. Race: Lost In Paris - Jedward - Lady Gibraltar