Tuesday, June 11, 2013

5 more poor meetings today

with Royal Ascot starting in exactly one week from now, there is little point in expecting high class racing at the moment and today´s 5 cards - flat racing at Satisbury this afternoon and Lingfield (a.w.) this evening, jumps racing at Fontwell in the afternoon and Worcester in the evening, as well, as a mixed Irish meeting at Roscommon (3 flat races, 3 over hurdles and 2 bumpers) are all very weak.
At Salisbury, we expect Kyllachy Rise (Richard Hannon/ Richard Hughes) to get off the mark in the 7 furlongs maiden at 16.00 CET. Originally trained by Sir Henry Cecil, he finished last in the 2,000 Guineas and was then beaten at odds-on at York over 6 furlongs; today´s distance could therefore be ideal and the opposition does not look great, with the possible exception of well-bred debutant Muthmir (William Haggas/ Paul Hanagan). The handicap for 3yo fillies over the same trip at 17.35 is the most interesting race here; Hanagan rides Einadwa, but we expect stable companion Ghanaian (Saeed bin Suroor/ Silvestre de Sousa) to come out on top.
Another beaten odds-on favourite who should recover some of those losses is Ian´s Dream (Jeremy Noseda/ William Buick) in the 6 furlongs maiden at 20.30 at Lingfield. He was third at Royal Ascot last June, and despite his two flops since, should be good enough to score here.
Over jumps, there are several recent winners who could follow up over a penalty at Fontwell, such as Wester Ross (Evan Williams/ Adam Wedge) at 15.15, and Luci di Mezzanotte (Oliver Sherwood/ Leighton Aspell) half an hour later. Tony McCoy, in fantastic form at present (when he is ever not??) is riding here and can land a double with Richard Ford´s Silver Steel at 16.15 and Jonjo O´Neill´s Listen and Learn at 16.50.
McCoy then hares off to Worcester, where he has 6 rides. In the main event, a handicap hurdle over 2 miles 7 furlongs at 21.40, he partners Storm Survivor -who has been running over fences -with a good chance for O´Neill, but we think the interesting one here is Home Run (David Pipe/ Tom Scudamore). Bred by Gestüt Ammerland, the close relation to Hurricane Run hit the headlnes when winning 5 races in quick succession last winter; he then ran without success in much better company and now tries a longer distance for the first time. If he gets this trip - and pedigree suggests that it will be no problem- then he can get back on the winning trail.
It is raining in Ireland and the ground at Roscommon will be softer than forecast. This should suit Courage (Charlie Byrnes/ Davy Russell), who has been runner-up on his last 3 starts, all on soft ground, and he should win the maiden hurdle at 19.50.

Betting forecast at Salisbury:
1. Race: Emperor`s Hope - Killing Time - Double Point
2. Race: Bonjour Steve - Trinity Boy - Starlight Serenade
3. Race: Kyllachy Rise - Muthmir - Meddling
4. Race: Raushan - Lyric Ballad - Iffraaj Pink
5. Race: My Gigi - Pippy - Princess Cammie
6. Race: Ghanaian - Elnadwa - This Is Nice
7. Race: Gold Mine - Nave - Into The Wind
8. Race: Intomist - Maria Montez - Commandingpresence