Thursday, May 02, 2013

6 meetings today

plenty of racing again but all at a very low level. This afternoon there is flat racing from Lingfield (a.w.) and Redcar and jumps racing from Sedgefield, while this evening we have flat racing at Chepstow, jumping from Taunton and a mixed Meeting (4 flat races followed by 3 over hurdles) at the Irish meeting at Tipperary.
The most interesting race of the day is the 7 furlongs handicap for 3yo´s at 17.50 CET at Lingfield, which looks wide open. Mission Approved Sir Miahael Stoute/ Ryan Moore) and Khobaraa (John Gosden/ Paul Hanagan) are both well-bred and lightly-raced types from top connections, who may possibly need the race, while Skytrain (Mark Johnston/ Joe Fanning) will certainly be fit enough, having won twice already this year, including this CD, but faces much better opposition now. The two we like best are top-weight Ready (Graham Moss/ Hayley Turner), who is fit and won twice over this CD last year) and especially Sinaadi (Clive Brittain/ Tom Queally), who is still a maiden but has run in some decent races and seems well handicapped.
At Redcar the main event is also a 7 furlongs handicap, buit for older horses at 16.30, and all these runners look very exposed. We shall take a chance on top-weight Mont Ras (David O´Meara/ Danny Tudhope), who has been off since October but is down in grade here and has always shown a preference for fast ground.
At Sedgefield we like German-bred Moon Melody (Mike Sowersby/ Denis O´Regan) in the long distance handicap chase at 16.10. He is not fantastically well handicapped, but has won over this CD on fast ground, and ran quite well over hurdles at Market Rasen recently.
Another German-bred who can win over fences is Passato (Jo Davis/ Paddy Brennan) at 19.20 at Taunton. This is quite a tricky race, but Passato, a son of Lando, will also like this fast ground; he last ran in the Cheltenham cross-country, but today´s much shorter trip is definitely more up his street.
At Chepstow Dark Lane (David Evans/ RJ Fitzpatrick) looks a good each-way bet in the 5 furlongs handicap at 21.10. He is certainly fit enough, as he runs every week, but he keeps his form well and has also gone well for this young jockey.
There are huge fields at Tipperary of mainly very moderate Performers. Our best bet here is Chief Admiral (Liz Doyle/ Andrew McNamara) in the 3 mile maiden hurdle at 21.30.

Betting forecast Tipperary:
1. Race: Heart Focus - Treadstone - Rock Focus
2. Race: English Deer - Red Queen - Johnny Lynch
3. Race: Theyturnedmedown - Allegra Tak - Queen Grace
4. Race: September Lily - Malicious Intent - Sassaway
5. Race: Treacy Hotels Boy - Danequest - Gowithdflo
6. Race: Alexander Leaving - Clancy Strand - De Benno
7. Race: Chief Admiral - Davy From Milan - Troll D`oudairies