Monday, April 29, 2013

5 poor meetings today

There is rarely high-class racing on a Monday and today is no exception. We have two N.H. meetings, at Towcester and Kelso, two all-weather meetings, and the usual Monday evening racing from Windsor, but all at a very low level. Kim Bailey saddled 3 winners yesterday at Wetherby, and it is by no means impossible that he can repeat the feat today at Towcester. Able Deputy (Nick Scholfield) makes his chasing debut at 15.30 CET; he never managed to win over hurdles, but ran in quite decent company and was the best of these in that sphere.Quiet Whisper (Edsward Cookson) runs in the handicap hurdle at 16.00; he has been below form recently, but has come down a lot in the weights, is a CD winner and the good stable form might inspire him today. The main danger is Jameel (John Ferguson/ Joseph Akehurst), who was a winner on the flat for Godolphin and has shown some ability over hurdles. Scholfield also rides Twelve Roses in the novice hurdle at 17.00 and this very lightly-raced 5yo can score here oin his second attempt over the sticks.

At Kelso, we like course specialist Or de Grugy (Nick and Lucy Alexander) in the handicap chase over 3 1/ 4 miles at 16.40; he has never won at this distance, but neither have the others, and he has good form at 3 miles, especially at this track, which should suffice. We also like Potomac (Rose Dobbin/ Keith Renwick) in the maiden hurdle at 15.10; he is a half-brother to the good flat horse Edinburgh Knight and shaped well over this CD 3 weeks ago. Shaun Dobbin partners the stable´s Purcells Bridge at 16.10 and the team, who won at Catterick 8 weeks ago, can follow up here.

Few fireworks can be expected at the all-weather meetings at Wolverhampton and Lingfield. Sir Michael Stoute´s yard is coming into form and his Call Ahead (Pat Dobbs) is likely to start a hot favourite for the maiden race at 17.20 at the former track; at the likely odds we just prefer Cavalieri (Willie Jarvis/ Graham Lee) each way. The best race at Lingfield is the 7 furlongs handicap at 20.25. Net Whizz (Jeremy Noseda/ Ryan Moore) is the obviuous favourite hetre, but he has been off since November. Our each-way alternative is Forceful Appeal (Simon Dow/ Jamie Spencer), who is down in the weights after some poor performances at other tracks, but runs his best races here.

Richard Hannon and Richard Hughes are in great form and always do well at Windsor; they can take the first two races with Steventon Star at 18.40 and Caramack half an hour later. They also have good prospects with Duke of Clarence in the 10 furlongs handicap at 20.10, but this is a hot race with Hanseatic (John Gosden/ William Buick) the one to beat.

Windsor - betting forecast:
1. Race: Culdaff - Ding Ding - Mimi Luke
2. Race: Caramack - Evident - Pembroke
3. Race: Aficionado - Bedouin Invader - Sir Bedivere
4. Race: Hanseatic - Duke Of Clarence - Ishikawa
5. Race: Cousin Khee - Attwaal - Brown Pete
6. Race: Mallory Heights - Hello Sailor - Pivotal Silence