Saturday, November 03, 2012

Newmarket: final meeting of 2012

the only racing on the flat in the U.K. today is at Newmarket and is the final fixture of 2012 at racing´s HQ. No group races but a strong card with 3 listed races and some tough handicaps. Two who will be hoping for a win are trainer John Dunlop and jockey Michael Hills, both heading for retirement.
Dunlop has runners in both divisions of the 2yo maiden that open the card, Endura (Ted Durcan) at 13.15 CET and Omoor (Paul Hanagan) half an hour later. Impossible to say what their chances are in races with several well-bred debutants, but he is probably not running them for sentimental reasons only.
Michael Hills has several rides for his brother Charlie, including those two maidens, but his best chance is probably Desert Image in the listed race for 3yo fillies at 14.55. This one was a very easy winner here over 7 furlongs10 days ago and the extra furlong now should be no problem; however this is a much tougher event.
The Hills brothers also have a chance in the mile listed race at 6.40 with Red Clubs, who has some smart performances to his credit. However this trip is possibly a furlong too far, and his penalty makes life difficult. The three Godolphin runners all look dangerous, but we shall take a chance on Swedish-trained Entangle (Rune Haugen/ Eddie Ahern), one of the best racehorses in Scandinavia.
The third listed race is over 10 furlongs here at 16.05. Mull of Killough (Jane Chapple-Hyam/ George Baker) has to give weight away all round, but runs his best races here, and was a group winner here last month following an excellent second place in the Cambridgeshire under a big weight.
The mile handicap at 15.30 is wide open, but we like the look of Credit Swap (Michael Wigham/ Jim Crowley), who won the Cambridgeshire here in 2010. He failed to make much impression over hurdles for Venetia Williams, but is now back with his old trainer, is now well handicapped and loves this ground.
Finally, for the masochists amongst us, we have a 19-runner handicap over 7 furlongs to end the season at 17.10. Almost anything is possible here, but our selection is Mia´s Boy (Chris Dwyer/ Andrea Atzeni), who has been dropped to his lowest rating for years and is ridden by a jockey who has impressed us greatly in recent weeks.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Sillabub - Oilinda - Buona Fortuna
2. Race: Za`hara - Beautiful View - Society Pearl
3. Race: Cap O`rushes - Restraint Of Trade - Linguine
4. Race: Power Of Light - Pure Excellence - Becky Lou
5. Race: Classic Colori - Boots And Spurs - Jake`s Destiny
6. Race: Mull Of Killough - Primevere - Hajras
7. Race: Red Jazz - Trade Commissioner - Dance And Dance

8. Race: Bond Fastrac - Rustic Deacon - Comrade Bond