Tuesday, October 09, 2012

4 meetings today

this column is back after spending the weekend at Longchamp, and today´s British racing at the unglamorous tracks of Brighton, Cattrerick, Leicester and Wolverhampton look very second-rate in comparison; the Irish meeting at Tipperary has been abandoned as the track is waterlogged
The card at Leicester is just about the best of today´s 4 meetings, but there are only 3 runners in the main event, a conditions race for 2yo´s over 10 furlongs at 16.40 CET. Linguini (Charlie Hills/ William Carson) is the top-rated, but the prefer the other two, who are less exposed. amd expect the well-bred Godolphin runner Ennistown (Mahmood al Zarooni/ Silvestre de Sousa), who won over a mile last time and should stay this trip, to come out on top. The brest-btred runner of all today is Panzanella (John Gosden/ William Buick), who rtuns in the 3yo maiden over 7 furlomngsd atv17.40. At this time of year, one does not expect strong competition in such events, but in fact this race has quite a decent field, but if Panzanella is fit (she has only run once, when fifth of 14 at Doncaster 11 months ago), then she should win. The best betting race here is the 3yo handicap over 1 1/2 miles at 17.10 which looks very tricky. Consistent Burnham (Hughie Morrison/ Tom Queally) and Man of Plenty (John Dunlop/ Dane O´Neill) have obvious chances, but the interesting one is Canary Wharf (Marco Botti/Martin Harley); trained last year by Aidan O´Brien, he won a maiden at Wolverhampton in January for Botti and has not been seen since. It is quite possible that he is much better than his current rating.
There could be another 2yo winner for Godolphin at Brighton, where Backstage Tour (Al Zarooni/ Antioco Murgia) can take the maiden at 16.20, while we shall give another chance to Whingeing Willie (George Moore/ Adam Beschizza) in the mile handicap at 27.50, as he was badly hampered last time.
At Catterick, last year´s winner Strikemaster (LR James/Duran Fentiman) reappears in the 2 mile handicap at 17.00, but the ground is much softer this time and we much prefer German-bred A Southside Boy (Jim Goldie/ Danny Tudhope), a Samum colt who showed improved form to win on heavy ground last time out.
Another much improved type is Dana´s Present (George Baker/ Jamie Spencer), who has only a 6 lbs penalty for a very easy win last time. He has top-weight in the 8 1/2 furlongs handicap at 18.30 at Wolverhampton this evening; but he may find it hard to concede the weight to Source of Light (David Loughnane/ Shane B Kelly) who was only just behind him on their penultoimate outing and is now 7 lbs better off.

Betting forecas at Wolverhamptont:
1. Race: Dana`S Present - Jay Bee Blue - Arabic
2. Race: Munsarim - Kay Gee Be - Fathsta
3. Race: Smart Daisy K - Free Island - Skytrain
4. Race: Seven Veils - Moderator - Aleksandar
5. Race: Daaree - Ormindo - Grey Blue
6. Race: Thecornishcowboy - Tis Rock `n` Roll - Capacious