Thursday, June 28, 2012

Listed race at Warwick

The best race in Britain and Ireland today is the listed event for 3yo fillies over 7 furlongs at 16.40 at Warwick. Racecourses know that they can always get decent fields for such events, as black type is so important, and it is no surprise to see 14 fillies line up here. Three of them ran last time in the 1,000 Guineas, where Sunday Times (Peter Chapple-Hyam/ Robert Havlin) finished 10th, Diala (William Haggas/ Eddie Ahern) 11th and Radio Gaga (Ed McMahon/ Richard Mullen) 14th. Sunday Times could come out best of this trio again; she was runner-up last year in the Cheveley Park Stakes, the best form on offer here. Roger Sez (Tim Easterby/ David Allan) was actually a group winner last season, but she has to give away 8 lbs all round as a result, which makes things tough. Intense Pink (Chris Wall/ Dane O´Neill) was beaten a long way last week at Royal Ascot, but this is a much easier race.The Queen is having a good season, but her runner Free Verse (Richard Hannon/ Richard Hu ghes) does not look good enough. This is not a great race, nowhere near as strong as last night´s Oaks Trial at Naas for example - won as we predicted by Caponata- and Sunday Times, despite some reservations, has to be the selection.

At Newcastle, the mile handicap at 16.00 is quite a decent race. Prince of Dance (Tom Tate/ Robert Winston) was runner-up here last year and takes the eye off bottom weight, but he is inconsistent and has not run since the winter. Extraterrestrial (Richard Fahey/ Lee Topliss) was 4th last year, but is not always in such strong form, so we shall side with the much-improved Prince of Sorrento (Lee Carter/ Steve Donohoe) who has already won 4 races this year and seen his handicap rating go up 29 lbs. His latest second place to Fennell Bay at Sandown was boosted when the latter went in again at Royal Ascot.

The fillies handicap over 9 furlongs at 17.50 is the best race at Yarmouth. The lightly-traced and well-bred Strawberrymystique (Marco Boztti/ Jamie Spencer) could be ther answer here. Viking Rose (James Eustace/ Luke Morris) has a good record at this track but seems better at shorter distances, so Laverre (Lucy Wadham/ Hayley Turner), who is down in trip but has run well both starts this year after a long break, could be the main danger.