Thursday, January 26, 2012

McCoy returns today!

Tony McCoy returns to action today after missing the last 3 weeks with broken ribs. He partners the expensive (125,000 euros) purchase Key to the West for Nicky Henderson in the bumper at Warwick at 17.25 CET. Obviously under these circumstances, the horse will almost certainly astart as hot favourite, and another expensive debutant Whisky Yankee (Paul Nicholls/ Daryl Jacob) looks an alternative. The race for 4yo maidens over hurdles at 14.25 is another interesting event at Warwick. The proven performers Fire Fighter (Alan King/ Wayne Hutchinson) and Nova Sam (Philip Hobbs/ Richard Johnson) are up against newcomers such as Shalloon (John Ferguson/ Jack Quinlan) or Tadabeer (Ian Williams/ Dougie Costello), part-owned by Sir Alex Ferguson. We do not recommend betting much in these races; from the betting point of view German-bred El Dancer (Lucy Wadham/ Matt Crawley in the handicap hurdle at 15.25 and Reginaldhino (Venetia Williams/ Aidan Coleman) in the handicap chase a t 16.25, both each way, are our selections.

Warwick - betting forecast:
1. Race: Fire Fighter - Shalloon - Nova Sam
2. Race: Quelqu`Un Comme Toi - One More Dinar - Amroth Bay
3. Race: Bellflower Boy - Godsmejudge - What An Oscar
4. Race: Pacha Du Polder - Carribs Leap - Downward Spiral
5. Race: Ockey De Neulliac - Arctic Ben - Romulus D`Artaix
6. Race: Sizing America - The Shoe - Kornati Kid
7. Race: Key To The West - Whisky Yankee - Ballyalton


At Newcastle, we like Allanard (Mike Todhunter/ Graham Lee) in the 3 mile handicap chase at 15.45. He won with great authority last time, and although this is a much tougher race, he is getting weight all round. Eyre Square (Keith and James Reveley) looks the danger, but this trip could be on the short side. We do not normally like betting on maidens in handicaps, but ex-Irish Realignment (Donald McCain/ Jon KIngton) may be an exception in the handicap hurdle at 16.15. He has run well on both starts for his new connections and does not have much to beat here.

Newcastle - betting forecast:
1. Race: South Leinster - Brindisi Breeze - Nodform Richard
2. Race: Degas Art - Vosges - Chester Lad
3. Race: Dramatic Jewel - King`S Chorister - Dice
4. Race: Eyre Square - Allanard - Rolecarr
5. Race: Realignment - Funky Munky - Mahfal
6. Race: Shadow Boxer - Celian - Toy Gun
7. Race: Lucia Bay - Charlie`S Vic - Goodlukin Lucy


The only all-weather racing today takes place this evening at Kempton. The best race is the 6 furlongs handicap at 20.05, which looks wide open. Our token selection is CD specialist Earlsmedic (Steve Wiliams/ Ryan Clark).

Kempton - betting forecast:
1. Race: Storm Runner - Karate - Qeethaara
2. Race: Royal Acclamation - Fearless Poet - Jackie Love
3. Race: Kalokagathia - Red Trump - Remix
4. Race: Steady Gaze - Unex Picasso - First Rock
5. Race: Rasheed - Switched Off - Rocky Rebel
6. Race: Bandstand - Whaileyy - Rylee Mooch
7. Race: Rightcar - Cut The Cackle - Prince Namid
8. Race: Nacho Libre - Welcome Approach - Metropolitan Chief