Sunday, October 30, 2011

today´s N.H, action

3 jumps meetings today although of much less interest than the flat racing in France and Ireland. At Carlisle,smart hurdler Notus de la Tour /David Pipe/ Tom Scudamore) makes his fencing debut at 14.40 CET and if he jumps round safely, should win easily. He won´t pay much however and a better bet could be Extalar (Lucinda Russell/ Peter Buchanan) to repeat last year´s victory in the 3 mile handicap chase at 15.40. The intermediate chase at 16.15 has a small but decent field, with Ferdy Murphy saddling 3 of the 6 runners. However our choice is Hidden Keel (Charlie Longsdon/ Felix de Giles), whose stable is in great form and who looks much improved, winning 3 of his last 4 starts.
In Huntingdon, Folk Tune (John Quinn/ Dean Pratt) attempts to complete a hat-trick for the trainer and jockey in the claiming hurdle at 14.55. He has been in good form both on the level and over sticks, but may struggle to give the weight to Pobs Trophy (Jake Greenall), one of two runners from the in-form Richard Guest stable. The novice hurdle here at 16.00 looks a poor race. The two penalised horses do not look anything special, and we prefer the lightly-raced Valley Lad (Tim Vaughan/ Richard Johnson) and Bowntobebad (Jeremy Scott/ Noel Fehily)
In Ireland, the beginners chase at 16.55 looks the most interesting race at Wexford. There are 15 runners, but we expect the finish to lie between Raptor (Willie Mullins/ Ruby Walsh) and Donnas Palm (Noel Meade/ Paul Carberry).

Betting forecast Carlisle:
1. Race: Koup De Kanon - Malin Bay - Monkton Vale
2. Race: Notus de la Tour - Stopped Out - Signalman
3. Race: Houston Dynimo - Benefique - Persian Peril
4. Race: Qhilimar - Humbie - Minella Boys
5. Race: Hidden Keel - Gilbarry - Divers
6. Race: French Seventyfive - Nisaal - Catspan
7. Race: Phoenix Returns - Optimist - I Got Sunshine