Tuesday, October 25, 2011

Frankel´s full brother makes debut at Yarmouth

The most interesting race in the U.K. today is the first division of the 2yo mile maiden at Yarmouth at 15.30 CET with several well-bred newcomers from top stables entered - notably Noble Mission (Sir Henry Cecil/ Tom Queally) who makes his eagerly awaited debut. The youngster is a full brother to champion Frankel and one thing is certain - he won´t be as good as his brother, one of the best racehorses ever to run in Europe. He faces no easy task today as the field of 16 includes several highly rated newcomers, notably Swdish Sailor (Mahmood al Zarooni/ Frankie Dettori) and Frasers Hill (Roger Varian/ Neil Callan). This is not a race to bet on, but certainly to be watched. The same goes for the second division half an hour later, in which the $500,000 yearling Moshaaqib (John Gosden/ Richard Hills) makes his debut. The first 4 races here are all for 2yo´s and include juveniles from almost all the top Newmarket stables. The only race with plenty of form is the handicap at 15.00, in which the Queen´s top-weight Travellers Tales (Richard Hannon/ Ryan Moore) and Godolphin´ s Chatterati (al Zarooni/ Dettori) make most appeal.

Yarmouth - betting forecast:
1. Race: Invisible Hunter - Commend - Rewarded
2. Race: Traveller`S Tales - Chatterati - Altona
3. Race: Noble Mission - Commitment - Swedish Sailor
4. Race: Moshaagib - Ruban - Romantic
5. Race: Comrade Bond - Amazing Win - Beautiful Day
6. Race: Pursuing - Cathcart Castle - Gay Gallivanter
7. Race: See Vermont - Bateleur - Star Twilight
8. Race: Kames Park - Delorain - Prickles


The card at Catterick is very difficult with 7 (!) handicaps for older horses, all with large fields. We were wrong yesterday with our prediction that Kieren Fallon would make some headway in the race for the jockeys championship, and he now has now has virtually no chance. Paul Hanagan and Silvestre de Sousa, both of whom are riding here, are now left to fight it out. de Sousa can win the opening 2yo maiden on Mark Johnston´s Idler, but he will start at very cramped odds. Hanagan can strike back with CD winner Makbullet in the 7 furlongs handicap an hour later.

Catterick - betting forecast:
1. Race: Idler - Sir Windsorlot - Gone By Sunrise
2. Race: Black Annis Bower - Cool Rhythm - Deliberation
3. Race: Mandalay King - Fast Shot - Makbullet
4. Race: Descaro - Tricksofthetrade - White Deer
5. Race: Regeneration - Celtic Sultan - Beckermet
6. Race: Child Of Our Time - They All Laughed - Bavarian Nordic
7. Race: Vittachi - Al Shababiya - Strong Knight
8. Race: El Dececy - Spirit Of Coniston - Surely This Time


There is some decent jumps racing at Chepstow. Ruby Walsh´s refusal to ride here, following another outrageous stewards decision at Aintree on Saturday, should be to the advantage of Daryl Jacob, who now partners several fancied mounts for trainer Paul Nicholls. We expect the team to take the two divisions of the novice hurdle that open the card with Prospect Wells at 15.10 and Grandioso at 15,40, both running in the Wylie colours. The novice chase at 16.40 looks a good race. Red Harbour (Nicholls/ Jacobs) and Irish hope Misala (Shark Hanlon/ Paddy Brennan) both won over fences last time out but have to concede 7 lbe to the two useful hurdlers Alfie Spinner (Nick Williams/ James Reveley) and Carpincho (Sarah Hunphreys/ Tony McCoy), which will not be easy. If "Shark" has a winner here, it is in our view more likely to be Darenjan (Brian Hayes), who has top weight in the 2 mile handicap chase at 18.10.

Chepstow - betting forecast:
1. Race: Prospect Wells - Daymar Bay - Future Profit
2. Race: Grandioso - Christopher Wren - Golden Gael
3. Race: Well Hello There - Ramses De Marcigny - Monsieur Cadou
4. Race: Alfie Spinner - Red Harbour - Misala
5. Race: Express Leader - Be My Light - What An Oscar
6. Race: Calico Rose - Beau Fighter - Taste The Wine
7. Race: Rileyev - Fishoutofwater - Educated Evans
8. Race: Barney Cool - Bold Chief - Colour Squadron