Tuesday, July 19, 2011

5 bad meetings today

Tuesday is often the worst day of the week as regards the standard of racing in Britain and today is no exception. 4 meetings in the U.K. and all of them very weak, and with mainly small fields, not at all punter-friendly. At Yarmouth, Sir Michael Stoute and Ryan Moore team up with two runners that should both start favourite: Complexion in the fillies handicap at 15.45 and Chieftain Prince in the 6 furlongs handicap at 17.15.

With the Stoute stable now in better form, we expect them both to win, but neither is exactly bombproof and at the likely odds they represent no great value. At Musselburgh, Mark Johnston introduces an interesting newcomer Courtesy Call (Silvestre de Sousa) in the 2yo maiden at 16.00; the Manduro colt cost 80,000 euros as a yearling and would not have to be anything special to beat today´s opponents. Best bet here is Pokfulham (Jim Goldie/ Danny Tudhope), beaten favourite at Ayr last time, but very unlucky. He has been in good form this year, both on the flat and over hurdles (3 wins so far in 2011) and can win the 1 1/2 mile handicap at 17.00. At Southwell, we expect top-weight Captain Bellamy (Hughie Morrison/ Steve Drowne) to win the 2 mile handicap at 21.00. He finished last at Newbury last time, but that was a much better race and the opposition looks very weak here. He won over 11 furlongs at this track earlier, and is now stepping up in trip, but in fact none of these runners have form at this distance.

There is N.H. racing this evening at Bangor, where our tip is Rawaaj (Donald McCain/ Henry Brooke), who has top-weight in the conditional jockeys handicap hurdle at 21.40. His stable generally does well here and he has the best form in the race; any rain (as is forecast) would also be an advantage. There are much bigger fields at the Irish all-hurdles meeting at Ballinrobe, but not much more quality. In a Nutshell (Charlie Byrnes/ Davy Russell) and Seader (Jessica Harrington/ Barry Geraghty) can land a short-priced double here in the two maiden races which open the card at 18.20 and 18.50