Wednesday, December 15, 2010

U.K. racing today

The 4 meetings in the U.K. today, Newbury and Bangor over jumps, and Lingfield and Kempton (evening) on the all-weather, pale into insignificance compared to the card at Fairyhouse. Newbury´s card would be very minor key for this track, were it not for the Grade Two Peterborough Chase over 2 1/2 miles at 16.10 CET, transferred from last week´s abandoned Huntingdon meeting. This race has cut up to 7 runners, and is not a strong as it would have been last week but is still an interesting event, with German-bred Twist Magic (Paul Nicholls/ Noel Fehily) top-rated and the likely favourite. We fancied him strongly for the Tingle Creek at Sandown 10 days ago (also abandoned), but his problem is that he has never shone at right-handed tracks, as Newbury is, and in any case this trip on a stiff track looks beyond him. On top there is another front-runner in the field, Ollie Magern (Nigel and Sam Twiston-Davies), so we do not fancy him today- but will be happy to eat our words. Nicholl s is in great form, but his other runner Breedsbreeze (Daryl Jacob) has been off the track for almost 2 years, so we prefer Tartak (Tom George/ Paddy Brennan) and Deep Purple (Evan Williams/ Paul Moloney), who won this race last year at Huntingdon. Otherwise it could pay to follow Nicky Henderson, who has an excellent record here and has fancied runners in several races.

Although Newbury is clearly the top meeting, it could be significant that Tony McCoy and Choc Thornton ride at Bangor and their mounts should be followed.

Easily the best tace on the all-weather today is the listed event over 7 furlongs at 18.55 at Kempton this evening. Irish challenger Duff (Eddie Lynam/ Kevin Manning) won this in 2008, is top-rated and has a good record at this level and he is our selection. Enact (Sir Michael Stoute/ Ryan Moore) and Mosquera´s Romance (Marco Botti/ Adam Kirby) look the main dangers