Listed race at Goodwood

The most interesting race of the day is the listed event over 10 furlongs at 16.45 CET at Goodwood; even with only 5 runners, this is still an intriguing contest which should mainly concern the 4yo Holberg (Saeed bin Suroor/ Frankie Dettori) and the 2 3yo´s Bullet Train (Henry Cecil/ Tom Queally) and Hot Prospect (Michael Jarvis/ Philip Robinson), who both ran - badly - in the Derby. The former finisihed in front on that occasion, and now meets Cecil´s runner on 3 lbs better terms, but there are still reasons for believing that Bullet Train will come out on top this time. He was an impressive winner of the Lingfield Derby Trial (Hot Prospect third) and is now being tried at what is possibly a better distance. In any case Hot Prospect probably needs softer going than he will find today. In view of these doubts, we select the Godolphin runner, who was runner-up to the smart Laheeb in a Kempton Group Three last time. He is also trying a new trip, as he has been seen as a stayer (he won the Queens Vase last year) but that should be no problem this afternoon.

Otherwise at Goodwood we expect Jeremy Noseda and Ryan Moore to land a double with Sea Change in the 3yo handicap at 17.20 and Alfonso the Wise in the 1 1/2 mile handicap at 17.55. Both these races look quite open, but Sea Change in particular looks capable of further improvement.

There are some large fields this afternoon at Redcar, but the sport on offer is very moderate. 10yo Fremen (David and Adrian Nicholls) is a model of consistency despite his advancing years; he can score for the 8th time this season in the claiming race at 17.00, while Destiny Blue (Jamie Osborne/ Paul Mulrennan) showed much improved form last time and can defy a penalty in the 10 furlongs handicap at 17.35.

There is jumps racing this afternoon at Perth in Scotland and Downpatrick in N. Ireland. At the latter track, Ruby Walsh, getting back in the swing of things after his long injury layoff, has 3 good rides - Wee Giant for Willie Mullins at 15.10, Golan Boy for Tony Martin at 16.15 and Your Busy for J Nash at 16.50 and all 3 have chances.
Nigel Twiston-Davies and Gordon Elliott are usually the trainers to follow a Perth, and both could be among the winners today. The former´s Mad Moose, with son Sam in the saddle, can make up for an early fall last time by taking the 3 miles handicap hurdle at 18.20.

Fans of Barney Curley should keep an eye on one-time German classic winner Aviso (Queally) in the 10 furlongs handicap at 20.50 at this evening´s all-weather Kempton meeting. Best bet here could be Wallis (Luca Cumani/ Kirsty Milczarek) in the fillies handicap at 21.50.

Betting forecast:
1. Race: Dominant - Namibian - Mariners Lodge
2. Race: Strictly Rhythm - Sud Pacifique - Dordogne
3. Race: Humidor - Desert Icon - Perfect Flight
4. Race: Hot Prospect - Holberg - Bullet Train
5. Race: Sea Change - Doon Kalal - Heart Of Hearts
6. Race: Dhaamer - Alfonso The Wise - Kings Troop
7. Race: Witchry - Sermons Mount - Mrs Boss