Sunday, January 25, 2009

Ayr (N.H.) and Wolverhampton (a.w.)

the idea of staging an additional fixture at Ayr today - the second this year - has paid off handsomely, as the Scottish track stages the only jumps racing in Britain and has an attractive card, although the heavy going could be a problem. There are only 5 runners in the novice chase over 3 miles 1 furlong at 15.05 CET, but this is still a decent event and we expect Chief Dan George (Jimmy Moffatt/ Richard McGrath) and Bold Ransom (Keith and James Reveley) to be involved; the pair finished second and third to the useful Skipper´s Brig last time, and now face new opposition from top-weight Killyglen (Howard Johnson/ Denis O`Regan), whose team should go on to take the following race, a 2 mile novice hurdle, with Teenage Idol, who was most impressive last time. The penalised Comhla ri Coig (Donald McCain/ AP Lane) and Brackenmoss (the Reveleys again) could also be thereabouts. German-bred Quicuyo (Peter Monteith/ Keith Renwick) has an obvious chance in the 2 mile novice chase; a lthough a brother to fast-ground performer Quijano, he acts well on the heavy and also goes well at this track. Role On and Cromwell Court are the two he has to beat. His trainer can also take the 3 mile 1 furlong handicap chase at 16.35 with another son of Acatenango, top-weight First Look with the good claimer Rhys Flint in thre saddle. At Wolverhampton, the field of 7 for the 6 furlongs handicap for 3yo´s at 16.25 includes four last-tome-out winners, two of whom Stash (Reg Hollinshead/ Graham Gibbons) and Changing the Guard (Richard Fahey/ Paul Hanagan) are still unbeaten after winning their only start. However they were both maiden races, and possibly the proven handicap form of Five Star Junior (Lydia Stubbs/ Shane Kelly) and Takeover Bid (Mark Johnston/ Greg Fairley) may prove decisive. The class 2 conditions race over 7 furlongs at 18.00 has a rather disappointing turnout, and Aeroplane (Simon Callaghan/ Jamie Spencer) has 11 lbs in hand according to official ratings. In theory he should win from Councellor (Stef Liffiard/ Micky Fenton) and Orchard Supreme (Richard Hannon/ Dane O´Neill), but an upset here would be no huge surprise.

Betting forecast Ayr:
1.Race: Lago - Sammy Spiderman - Julius Caesar
2.Race: Chief Dan George - Killyglen - Nine De Sivola
3.Race: Teenage Idol - Comhla Ri Coig - Brackenmoss
4.Race: Role On - Cromwell Court - Quicuyo
5.Race: Royal Mackintosh - Silver By Nature - First Look
6.Race: Soul Angel - Kirkside Pleasure - Seeking Straight



Betting forecast Wolverhampton:
1.Race: Piazza San Pietro - Circle Dance - Thoosa
2.Race: Fantastic Fred - Autumn Morning - Captain Walcot
3.Race: Takeover Bid - Changing The Guard - Five Star Junior
4.Race: Marmooq - Boss Hog - Inside Story
5.Race: Snowy Indian - Lady Aspen - Amber Moon
6.Race: Aeroplane - Docofthebay - Councellor