Sunday, November 08, 2009

Ffos Las, Hereford and Market Rasen

After the excitements of the last few days, the 3 N.H. meetings in the U.K, today come as an anti-climax. Although the fields are quite small, the new Welsh track at Ffos Las probably offers the best sport, with several Irish-trained runners, and Tony McCoy looks the jockey to follow here. Get Me out of Here at 14.10 CET, Factotum at 16.15 and Foxesbow at 16.45, all trained by Jonjo O´Neill, are all forecast to start favourite, while Next Week at 14.40 and Francis du Mesnil at 15.45, for the Irish trainers JJ Mangan and Arthur Moore also have their chances, as does Danehill Willy for local trainer Evan Williams at 15.15. The best race at Market Rasen is the novice chase at 15.55, in which there is little between the 6 runners. Bench Warrant (Charlie Mann/ Noel Fehily) gets a narrow vote and the same team can follow up with Teamgeist half an hour later. At Hereford, Bureaucrat (Philip Hobbs/ Giles Hawkins), who fell last time, should outclass the opposition in the selling hurd le at 15.00, while top-weight and a 7 lbs penalty should not stop Midnight Haze (Kim Bailey/ Jason Maguire) in the handicap chase at 15.35, judging by the manner of his recent success at Kempton. Peppertree Lane (AP Boxhall/ Aidan Coleman) is an interesting runner in the novice hurdle at 16.35; a group race performer on the flat, he was a huge disappointment over sticks last season. Now with a new trainer, he must have a good chance here if he has in the meantime learned to jump properly.

Ffos Las - betting forecast:
1. Race: Get Me Out Of Here - Walamo - Pure Faith
2. Race: Next Week - Punjabi Army - House Of Bourbon
3. Race: The God Of Love - Norther Bay - Danehill Willy
4. Race: Dev - Francis Du Mesnil - Sou`Wester
5. Race: Factotum - Another Brother - Sir Tantallus Hawk
6. Race: Foxesbow - Rio Laine - Sydney Sling
7. Race: Nelson`S Chief - Astracad - Alarming Alacrity

Hereford - betting forecast:
1. Race: Dew Drop Inn - Sir Bumble - Petroglyph
2. Race: Cartier Opera - Lough Rynn - Particle
3. Race: Bureaucrat - Little Firecracker - Ballabrook
4. Race: Midnight Haze - Nawow - Friends Of Tina
5. Race: Quideo De Touzaine - Timeshift - Jau
6. Race: The Jigsaw Man - Ravethebrave - Peppertree Lane
7. Race: Quetzal - Another Kate - No Principles

Market Rasen - betting forecast:
1. Race: Dark Oasis - Mille Chief - Bocamix
2. Race: Night Orbit - King O`The Gypsies - Raduis Bleu
3. Race: Civil Servant - Intersky Music - Mansonn Leda
4. Race: Bench Warrent - Kilvergan Boy - Circus Of Dreams
5. Race: Teamgeist - Shrewd Investor - Rosie All Over
6. Race: Furze Hill - Pagan Sword - Carrickmines

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Longest day!

This is the longest day of the year for racing fans, with non-stop action starting at 12.55 CET with the first race at Doncaster (the final flat meeting on turf in Britain this year) and ending almost 12 hours later with the Breeders Cup Classic, the last race of a sensational Breeders Cup card at Santa Anita in California. In fact, if you also follow trotting, racing starts even earlier with the first race at Chartres at 11.45! Quite apart from the Breeders Cup this evening, there are highlights galore, with Doncaster´s November Handicap, excellent jumping cards at Sandown and Wincanton, while the Jnwine Champion Chase, won last year by Kauto Star, is the feature race at Down Royal. There is also an excellent jumping card at Auteuil.

Then in the evening there is an all-weather meeting at Dundalk, in which Pat Smullen has good prospects of catching up with Johnny Murtagh (riding in California) in their battle for the Irish championship. Murtagh led by 7 when leaving for the Breeders Cup, but Smullen had 3 winners on Thursday and has 6 rides tonight, several of them strongly fancied. The other jockeys´ battle has been decided - Freddie Tylicki is now officially champion apprentice wth 68 winners to 67 by David Probert, who is banned from riding today, the last day that counts. Ryan Moore, who has had an unassailable lead for months, is also at the Breeders Cup, but is well clear in the British jockeys table.

There are too many races today for us to analyse them all, but we hope to see ex-German Baila Me run well in the November Handicap, where another German-bred Salden Licht looks a big danger; Paul Nicholls has not made a fantastic start to the season, but launches a strong attack today at his local track Wincanton, and could even go through the card; Notre Pere and Forpadytheplasterer can take the main events at Down Royal; and Emma Lavelle´s Crack Away Jack, 4th in the Champion Hurdle, appears to have a simple task against only 2 opponents on his chasing debut at Sandown.

Breeders Cup: second day

This evening is the second, and much stronger, day of the Breeders Cup meeting at Santa Anita, with 8 top-class races beginning at 19.45 CET with the Juvenile Turf over a mile. The turf races give the Europeans their best chances and there are 4 of them in this field- Pounced (John Gosden/ Frankie Dettori), Viscount Nelson (Aidan O´Brien/ Johnny Murtagh), Awesome Act (Jeremy Noseda/ Ryan Moore) and Buzzword (Saeed bin Suroor/ Ahmed Ajtebi). This is followed by the Turd Sprint at 20.23, in which surprisingly there is only one European runner - Noseda´s Strike the Deal (Kieren Fallon). However Richard Mandella´s Lord Shanakill was formerly trained by Karl Burke, but local hope California Flag is the likely favourite here. Noseda also has a runner in the BC Sprint at 21.20, Fleeting Spirit (Dettori) who has been first or second on all his starts in top European races this season; but Zensational and Gayego, from Godolphin´s U.S. string, look the two strongest in this race.

Betting forecast:
2. Race: Interactif - Pounced - Viscount Nelson
3. Race: California Flag - Diamondrella - Silver Timber
4. Race: Zensational - Gayego - Fatal Bullet
5. Race: Lookin At Lucky - D` Funnybone - Noble`S Promise
6. Race: Goldikova - Delegator - Cowboy Cal
7. Race: Mastercraftsman - Bullsbay - Midshipman
8. Race: Conduit - Spanish Moon - Dar Re Mi
9. Race: Zenyatta - Rip Van Winkle - Girolamo